Havant & Waterlooville vs Hanwell Town: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Havant & Waterloovillevs
Hanwell TownThe model puts Havant & Waterlooville at 42%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: low.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −The head-to-head history is finely balanced.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Expected goals
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Match DNA
Key points
- Havant & Waterlooville have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Hanwell Town have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Havant & Waterlooville have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Havant & Waterlooville is priced at 2.256.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 2 | ||
| 1 | 9 | 11 | 7 | 3 | ||
| 2 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | ||
| 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Havant & Waterlooville at 42%. The model puts the draw at 24%. The model puts Hanwell Town at 34%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-1.
The market frames this as a close contest. Havant & Waterlooville is priced at 2.256. The draw is priced at 4. Hanwell Town is priced at 2.78.
Havant & Waterlooville have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings. Hanwell Town have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 2 of their head-to-head meetings.
Havant & Waterlooville have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Hanwell Town have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 58% for both teams to score. The model gives 56% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Havant & Waterlooville or Hanwell Town?
Our model rates Havant & Waterlooville as the most likely outcome at 42% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Havant & Waterlooville vs Hanwell Town?
A scoreline around 2-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 4 meetings: 1 Havant & Waterlooville wins, 2 draws, 1 Hanwell Town wins.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.
Odds movement
League table
England. Southern Premier League. South| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Plymouth Parkway | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 22:7 | 19 |
| 2 |  Uxbridge | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 17:7 | 17 |
| 3 |  Hanworth Villa | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 15:7 | 16 |
| 4 |  Chertsey Town | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 19:12 | 14 |
| 5 |  Bath City | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 11:7 | 14 |
| 6 |  Frome Town | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 12:8 | 13 |
| 7 |  Chichester City | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 13:14 | 13 |
| 8 |  Berkhamsted | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 11:12 | 13 |
| 9 |  Taunton Town | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 21:20 | 12 |
| 10 |  Poole Town | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 8:9 | 12 |
| 11 |  Gosport Borough | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 11:9 | 11 |
| 12 |  Yate Town | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10:11 | 11 |
| 13 |  Evesham United | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 11:14 | 10 |
| 14 |  Bracknell Town | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 10:17 | 10 |
| 15 |  Wimborne Town | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6:4 | 9 |
| 16 |  Basingstoke Town | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 13:14 | 9 |
| 17 |  Sholing | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 7:12 | 7 |
| 18 |  Chippenham Town | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 7:14 | 7 |
| 19 | Hanwell Town | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6:9 | 6 |
| 20 |  Gloucester City | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 11:16 | 6 |
| 21 |  Malvern Town | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 12:23 | 5 |
| 22 | Havant & Waterlooville | 8 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 8:15 | 4 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.