Gosport Borough vs Bracknell Town: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Gosport Boroughvs
Bracknell TownThe model puts Gosport Borough at 44%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: low.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −Recent form favours Bracknell Town.
- −The head-to-head history is finely balanced.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Gosport Borough have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Bracknell Town have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Bracknell Town have won 4 of the head-to-head meetings.
- The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
- The model gives 52% for both teams to score.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 2 | ||
| 1 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 2 | ||
| 2 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 4 | 5 | 3 | |||
| 4 | 2 | 2 | ||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
Gosport Borough have 0 wins in their last 5 matches. Bracknell Town have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
Bracknell Town have won 4 of the head-to-head meetings. Gosport Borough have won 4 of the head-to-head meetings.
The model puts Gosport Borough at 44%. The model puts Bracknell Town at 33%. The model puts the draw at 23%.
The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0. The model gives 52% for both teams to score. The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Gosport Borough or Bracknell Town?
Our model rates Gosport Borough as the most likely outcome at 44% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Gosport Borough vs Bracknell Town?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 8 meetings: 4 Gosport Borough wins, 0 draws, 4 Bracknell Town wins.
Odds movement
League table
England. Southern Premier League. South| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Plymouth Parkway | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 23:8 | 20 |
| 2 |  Uxbridge | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 19:8 | 20 |
| 3 |  Hanworth Villa | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 17:8 | 19 |
| 4 |  Bath City | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 13:8 | 17 |
| 5 |  Poole Town | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 11:10 | 15 |
| 6 |  Chertsey Town | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 20:15 | 14 |
| 7 |  Frome Town | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 12:8 | 13 |
| 8 |  Evesham United | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 13:14 | 13 |
| 9 |  Chichester City | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 14:16 | 13 |
| 10 |  Berkhamsted | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 11:14 | 13 |
| 11 |  Wimborne Town | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10:4 | 12 |
| 12 |  Taunton Town | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 21:20 | 12 |
| 13 | Gosport Borough | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 11:9 | 11 |
| 14 |  Yate Town | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10:15 | 11 |
| 15 |  Sholing | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 9:12 | 10 |
| 16 | Bracknell Town | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 10:17 | 10 |
| 17 |  Basingstoke Town | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 14:16 | 9 |
| 18 |  Hanwell Town | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7:10 | 7 |
| 19 |  Gloucester City | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 12:17 | 7 |
| 20 |  Chippenham Town | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 7:16 | 7 |
| 21 |  Havant & Waterlooville | 9 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 9:16 | 5 |
| 22 |  Malvern Town | 9 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 13:25 | 5 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.