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England. Southern Premier League. Central

Racing Club Warwick vs Worcester City: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

Racing Club Warwick Racing Club WarwickvsWorcester City Worcester City
Our predictionRacing Club Warwick to win
Model score: Low · 31/100
Score hint: 1-0

The model puts Racing Club Warwick at 38%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: low.

Win probabilities

1 · Racing Club Warwick38%
Draw25%
2 · Worcester City36%
1 · Racing Club WarwickDraw2 · Worcester City
Full team comparison →

Model vs market

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.

O/U 2.5Under 2.51.95+24.7%
BTTSNo2.10+21.5%
1X2Racing Club Warwick2.51+0.6%
1X2Draw3.71-0.2%
1X2Worcester City2.60-0.3%
Our model BookmakerPositive edge = model disagreement, not a value bet. Not betting advice.

Expected goals

0.96Racing Club Warwick
xG
0.83Worcester City
Over 2.5 goals27%
Both teams to score35%
Team strength rating
Racing Club Warwick
53
Worcester City
53

Most likely scorelines

0-016.7%
1-016.1%
0-113.9%
1-113.3%
2-07.7%
2-16.4%

Recent form

Racing Club Warwick
Worcester CityDWL

Match DNA

AttackDefenseFormStrengthH2HVenue
Racing Club Warwick Worcester City

Key points

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment
1X2Racing Club Warwick win2.51Fair (+0.6%)
Double chanceRacing Club Warwick or draw—Info
Total goalsUnder 2.51.95Fair

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A012345
0171462
1161362
2863
322
4
5

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Full analysis

The model puts Racing Club Warwick at 38%. The model puts the draw at 25%. The model puts Worcester City at 36%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.

The market frames this as a close contest. Racing Club Warwick is priced at 2.506. The draw is priced at 3.71. Worcester City is priced at 2.603.

Worcester City have 1 wins in their last 3 matches.

The model gives 35% for both teams to score. The model gives 27% for over 2.5 goals.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Prediction Track Record →Methodology →Model card →

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, Racing Club Warwick or Worcester City?

Our model rates Racing Club Warwick as the most likely outcome at 38% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for Racing Club Warwick vs Worcester City?

A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

The indicators lean toward under 2.5 goals.

See odds at bookmakers

Odds movement

3.903.523.142.752.37
Home 2.51 Draw 3.71 Away 2.60

League table

England. Southern Premier League. Central
#TeamGPWLTGPts
1Real Bedford880026:824
2Bury Town871016:721
3Bromsgrove871016:721
4Alvechurch861117:419
5Kettering Town841312:515
6Anstey Nomads841315:915
7Rushall Olympic853016:1315
8Peterborough Sports832313:1112
9Leiston833215:1411
10Needham Market733111:1110
11Bishop's Stortford83419:1110
12Redditch United823310:119
13Halesowen Town63307:89
14Stourbridge72239:119
15Racing Club Warwick81438:126
16Worcester City81435:106
17Banbury United81437:136
18Leighton Town714210:155
19Leamington71427:135
20Hitchin Town80446:124
21Stratford Town80536:163
22Stamford80801:210
Promotion - England. National League North Promotion - England. Southern Premier League. Central (Play-off: Round of 4) Promotion - England. Southern Premier League. Central (Play-off: Round of 8) Relegation

Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.