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England. Southern Premier League. Central

Kettering Town vs Anstey Nomads: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

Kettering Town Kettering TownvsAnstey Nomads Anstey Nomads
Our predictionKettering Town to win
Model score: Medium · 36/100
Score hint: 1-0

The model puts Kettering Town at 41%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: medium.

Win probabilities

1 · Kettering Town41%
Draw25%
2 · Anstey Nomads34%
1 · Kettering TownDraw2 · Anstey Nomads
Full team comparison →

Model vs market

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.

O/U 2.5Under 2.52.09+14.4%
BTTSNo2.25+13.2%
1X2Kettering Town2.34+0.5%
1X2Draw3.84-0.2%
1X2Anstey Nomads2.73-0.3%
Our model BookmakerPositive edge = model disagreement, not a value bet. Not betting advice.

Expected goals

1.28Kettering Town
xG
1.01Anstey Nomads
Over 2.5 goals40%
Both teams to score46%
Team strength rating
Kettering Town
54
Anstey Nomads
51

Most likely scorelines

1-113.1%
1-012.9%
0-110.2%
0-010.1%
2-18.4%
2-08.3%

Recent form

Kettering TownLWW
Anstey Nomads

Match DNA

AttackDefenseFormStrengthH2HVenue
Kettering Town Anstey Nomads

Key points

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment
1X2Kettering Town win2.34Fair (+0.5%)
Double chanceKettering Town or draw—Info
Total goalsUnder 2.52.09Fair

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A012345
0101052
1131372
28841
3442
411
5

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Full analysis

The model puts Kettering Town at 41%. The model puts the draw at 25%. The model puts Anstey Nomads at 34%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.

The market frames this as a close contest. Kettering Town is priced at 2.344. The draw is priced at 3.84. Anstey Nomads is priced at 2.734.

Kettering Town have 2 wins in their last 3 matches.

The model gives 46% for both teams to score. The model gives 40% for over 2.5 goals.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Prediction Track Record →Methodology →Model card →

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, Kettering Town or Anstey Nomads?

Our model rates Kettering Town as the most likely outcome at 41% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for Kettering Town vs Anstey Nomads?

A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

The indicators lean toward under 2.5 goals.

See odds at bookmakers

Odds movement

4.033.583.132.682.23
Home 2.34 Draw 3.84 Away 2.73

League table

England. Southern Premier League. Central
#TeamGPWLTGPts
1Real Bedford880026:824
2Bury Town871016:721
3Bromsgrove871016:721
4Alvechurch861117:419
5Kettering Town841312:515
6Anstey Nomads841315:915
7Rushall Olympic853016:1315
8Peterborough Sports832313:1112
9Leiston833215:1411
10Needham Market733111:1110
11Bishop's Stortford83419:1110
12Redditch United823310:119
13Halesowen Town63307:89
14Stourbridge72239:119
15Racing Club Warwick81438:126
16Worcester City81435:106
17Banbury United81437:136
18Leighton Town714210:155
19Leamington71427:135
20Hitchin Town80446:124
21Stratford Town80536:163
22Stamford80801:210
Promotion - England. National League North Promotion - England. Southern Premier League. Central (Play-off: Round of 4) Promotion - England. Southern Premier League. Central (Play-off: Round of 8) Relegation

Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.