Ilkeston vs Rylands: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Ilkestonvs
RylandsThe model puts Rylands at 43%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Rylands.
- −The head-to-head history is finely balanced.
Win probabilities
Recent form
Expected goals
Most likely scorelines
Match DNA
Key points
- Ilkeston have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Rylands have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Ilkeston have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Rylands is priced at 2.25.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 1 | |
| 1 | 8 | 12 | 9 | 5 | 2 | |
| 2 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 1 | |
| 3 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | ||
| 4 | 1 | |||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Full analysis
The model puts Ilkeston at 32%. The model puts the draw at 24%. The model puts Rylands at 43%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-2.
The market frames this as a close contest. Ilkeston is priced at 2.856. The draw is priced at 3.88. Rylands is priced at 2.25.
Ilkeston have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings. Rylands have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.
Ilkeston have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. Rylands have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 58% for both teams to score. The model gives 55% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Ilkeston or Rylands?
Our model rates Rylands as the most likely outcome at 43% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Ilkeston vs Rylands?
A scoreline around 1-2 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 6 meetings: 3 Ilkeston wins, 1 draws, 2 Rylands wins.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.
Odds movement
League table
England. Northern Premier League| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Cleethorpes Town | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 25:6 | 23 |
| 2 |  Avro | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 28:16 | 22 |
| 3 |  Redcar Athletic | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 19:7 | 22 |
| 4 |  Guiseley | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 22:10 | 19 |
| 5 |  Warrington Town | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 18:14 | 17 |
| 6 |  Bury | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 19:8 | 16 |
| 7 |  Curzon Ashton | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 18:10 | 16 |
| 8 |  Workington | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 17:15 | 16 |
| 9 |  Gainsborough Trinity | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 14:12 | 13 |
| 10 | Rylands | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 12:13 | 13 |
| 11 |  Alfreton Town | 9 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 15:10 | 12 |
| 12 |  Whitby Town | 9 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 14:24 | 12 |
| 13 |  Ashton United | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 10:9 | 11 |
| 14 |  Hyde United | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 11:19 | 11 |
| 15 |  Emley | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 8:15 | 10 |
| 16 |  Lancaster City | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 9:17 | 10 |
| 17 |  Leek Town | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 19:20 | 9 |
| 18 |  Bamber Bridge | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 14:27 | 9 |
| 19 |  Stockton Town | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 13:20 | 8 |
| 20 | Ilkeston | 9 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 6:21 | 7 |
| 21 |  Quorn | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 12:23 | 6 |
| 22 |  United of Manchester | 9 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 12:19 | 5 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.