Banbury United vs Stratford Town: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
The model puts Banbury United at 54%. The model leans toward Banbury United. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Banbury United.
- +The head-to-head record favours Banbury United (8-4-2).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Banbury United have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Stratford Town have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Banbury United have won 8 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Banbury United is priced at 1.91.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 6 | 3 | |||
| 1 | 13 | 11 | 5 | 1 | ||
| 2 | 11 | 10 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 3 | 7 | 6 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | |||
| 5 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Banbury United at 54%. The model puts the draw at 23%. The model puts Stratford Town at 23%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Banbury United. Banbury United is priced at 1.91. The draw is priced at 3.78. Stratford Town is priced at 3.76.
Banbury United have won 8 of the head-to-head meetings. Stratford Town have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 4 of their head-to-head meetings.
Banbury United have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. Stratford Town have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 48% for both teams to score. The model gives 49% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Banbury United or Stratford Town?
Our model rates Banbury United as the most likely outcome at 54% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Banbury United vs Stratford Town?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 14 meetings: 8 Banbury United wins, 4 draws, 2 Stratford Town wins.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward under 2.5 goals.
Odds movement
League table
England. Southern Premier League. Central| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 26:8 | 24 | |
| 2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 16:7 | 21 | |
| 3 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 16:7 | 21 | |
| 4 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 17:4 | 19 | |
| 5 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 12:5 | 15 | |
| 6 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 15:9 | 15 | |
| 7 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 16:13 | 15 | |
| 8 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 13:11 | 12 | |
| 9 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 15:14 | 11 | |
| 10 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 11:11 | 10 | |
| 11 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 9:11 | 10 | |
| 12 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 10:11 | 9 | |
| 13 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 7:8 | 9 | |
| 14 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9:11 | 9 | |
| 15 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 8:12 | 6 | |
| 16 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 5:10 | 6 | |
| 17 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 7:13 | 6 | |
| 18 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 10:15 | 5 | |
| 19 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7:13 | 5 | |
| 20 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 6:12 | 4 | |
| 21 | 8 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 6:16 | 3 | |
| 22 | 8 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 1:21 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.