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Northern Ireland. National Conference League. Premier Division

Dergview vs Dollingstown: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

Dergview DergviewvsDollingstown Dollingstown
Our predictionDergview to win
Model score: Low · 34/100
Score hint: 2-1

The model puts Dergview at 43%. Data on this fixture is limited, so the prediction carries extra uncertainty. Confidence: low.

Win probabilities

1 · Dergview43%
Draw21%
2 · Dollingstown35%
1 · DergviewDraw2 · Dollingstown
Full team comparison →

Model vs market

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.

BTTSNo3.12+6.0%
O/U 2.5Under 2.53.08+5.4%
1X2Dergview2.23+0.5%
1X2Draw4.40-0.2%
1X2Dollingstown2.66-0.3%
Our model BookmakerPositive edge = model disagreement, not a value bet. Not betting advice.

Expected goals

1.87Dergview
xG
1.45Dollingstown
Over 2.5 goals64%
Both teams to score65%
Team strength rating
Dergview
56
Dollingstown
51

Most likely scorelines

1-19.8%
2-19.2%
1-27.1%
1-06.8%
2-26.6%
2-06.3%

Match DNA

AttackDefenseFormStrengthH2HVenue
Dergview Dollingstown

Key points

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment
1X2Dergview win2.23Fair (+0.5%)
Double chanceDergview or draw—Info
Total goalsOver 2.51.34Fair

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A012345
04542
1710731
269731
34642
4232
5

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Full analysis

The model puts Dergview at 43%. The model puts the draw at 21%. The model puts Dollingstown at 35%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-1.

The market frames this as a close contest. Dergview is priced at 2.225. The draw is priced at 4.4. Dollingstown is priced at 2.656.

The model gives 65% for both teams to score. The model gives 64% for over 2.5 goals.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Prediction Track Record →Methodology →Model card →

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, Dergview or Dollingstown?

Our model rates Dergview as the most likely outcome at 43% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for Dergview vs Dollingstown?

A scoreline around 2-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.

See odds at bookmakers

Odds movement

4.623.993.372.742.11
Home 2.23 Draw 4.40 Away 2.66

Detailed stats, lineups and the live match story will appear here once match data becomes available.

Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.