Yate Town vs Frome Town: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Yate Townvs
Frome TownThe model puts Frome Town at 48%. The model leans toward Frome Town. Confidence: low.
Win probabilities
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Yate Town have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Frome Town have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Yate Town have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Frome Town is priced at 1.96.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8 | 11 | 8 | 4 | 2 | |
| 1 | 8 | 12 | 9 | 5 | 2 | |
| 2 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | |||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Full analysis
The model puts Yate Town at 28%. The model puts the draw at 24%. The model puts Frome Town at 48%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market leans toward Frome Town. Yate Town is priced at 3.46. The draw is priced at 3.92. Frome Town is priced at 1.96.
Yate Town have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
Yate Town have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. Frome Town have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 51% for both teams to score. The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Yate Town or Frome Town?
Our model rates Frome Town as the most likely outcome at 48% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Yate Town vs Frome Town?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 1 meetings: 1 Yate Town wins, 0 draws, 0 Frome Town wins.
Odds movement
Match statistics
Match story
How the game unfoldedCautious start, both sides feeling each other out. (0–0)
A controlled first-half spell with few clear chances. (0–0)
Half-time score: Yate Town 0 – 0 Frome Town.
An end-to-end spell with goals at both ends (Green M. (49'), Альберт Hopkins (61'), Unknown (67')). Score moves to 2–1.
A tense finish, but the scoreline stays put. (2–1)
League table
England. Southern Premier League. South| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Plymouth Parkway | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 23:8 | 20 |
| 2 |  Uxbridge | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 19:8 | 20 |
| 3 |  Hanworth Villa | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 17:8 | 19 |
| 4 |  Bath City | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 13:8 | 17 |
| 5 |  Poole Town | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 11:10 | 15 |
| 6 |  Chertsey Town | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 20:15 | 14 |
| 7 | Frome Town | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 14:10 | 14 |
| 8 |  Taunton Town | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 23:22 | 13 |
| 9 |  Evesham United | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 13:14 | 13 |
| 10 |  Chichester City | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 14:16 | 13 |
| 11 |  Berkhamsted | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 11:14 | 13 |
| 12 |  Wimborne Town | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10:4 | 12 |
| 13 |  Gosport Borough | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12:10 | 12 |
| 14 | Yate Town | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10:15 | 11 |
| 15 |  Bracknell Town | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 11:18 | 11 |
| 16 |  Sholing | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 9:12 | 10 |
| 17 |  Basingstoke Town | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 14:16 | 9 |
| 18 |  Hanwell Town | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7:10 | 7 |
| 19 |  Gloucester City | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 12:17 | 7 |
| 20 |  Chippenham Town | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 7:16 | 7 |
| 21 |  Havant & Waterlooville | 9 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 9:16 | 5 |
| 22 |  Malvern Town | 9 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 13:25 | 5 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.