Leighton Town vs Peterborough Sports: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Leighton Townvs
Peterborough SportsThe model puts Leighton Town at 41%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: low.
Win probabilities
Expected goals
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Match DNA
Key points
- Peterborough Sports have 2 wins in their last 4 matches.
- Leighton Town is priced at 2.363.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 9 | 10 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 1 | 12 | 13 | 7 | 3 | ||
| 2 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 4 | 4 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 1 | 1 | ||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Full analysis
The model puts Leighton Town at 41%. The model puts the draw at 24%. The model puts Peterborough Sports at 35%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market frames this as a close contest. Leighton Town is priced at 2.363. The draw is priced at 3.96. Peterborough Sports is priced at 2.652.
Peterborough Sports have 2 wins in their last 4 matches.
The model gives 49% for both teams to score. The model gives 44% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Leighton Town or Peterborough Sports?
Our model rates Leighton Town as the most likely outcome at 41% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Leighton Town vs Peterborough Sports?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward a balanced game.
Odds movement
Match statistics
Match story
How the game unfoldedCautious start, both sides feeling each other out. (0–0)
Peterborough Sports make it count (Richens (20'), Unknown (34')). It's 0–2 at this point.
Half-time score: Leighton Town 0 – 2 Peterborough Sports.
Leighton Town make it count (Ibie (62'), Unknown (71')). It's 2–2 at this point.
A tense finish, but the scoreline stays put. (2–2)
League table
England. Southern Premier League. Central| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Real Bedford | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 29:10 | 27 |
| 2 |  Bury Town | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 18:8 | 24 |
| 3 |  Bromsgrove | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 17:8 | 22 |
| 4 |  Alvechurch | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 17:4 | 20 |
| 5 |  Kettering Town | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 16:6 | 18 |
| 6 |  Anstey Nomads | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 16:13 | 15 |
| 7 |  Rushall Olympic | 9 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 16:14 | 15 |
| 8 |  Needham Market | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 15:11 | 13 |
| 9 | Peterborough Sports | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 15:13 | 13 |
| 10 |  Halesowen Town | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 8:8 | 12 |
| 11 |  Leiston | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 17:17 | 11 |
| 12 |  Redditch United | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 12:13 | 10 |
| 13 |  Stourbridge | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9:11 | 10 |
| 14 |  Bishop's Stortford | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 10:13 | 10 |
| 15 |  Racing Club Warwick | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 10:14 | 7 |
| 16 |  Worcester City | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 7:12 | 7 |
| 17 |  Hitchin Town | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 7:12 | 7 |
| 18 |  Leamington | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 8:14 | 6 |
| 19 |  Banbury United | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 9:16 | 6 |
| 20 |  Stratford Town | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 9:18 | 6 |
| 21 | Leighton Town | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 10:16 | 5 |
| 22 |  Stamford | 9 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 1:25 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.