Stourbridge vs Racing Club Warwick: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Stourbridgevs
Racing Club WarwickThe model puts Stourbridge at 53%. The model leans toward Stourbridge. Confidence: high.
Win probabilities
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Stourbridge have 0 wins in their last 3 matches.
- Racing Club Warwick have 0 wins in their last 3 matches.
- Stourbridge is priced at 1.81.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8 | 7 | 3 | |||
| 1 | 14 | 11 | 5 | 1 | ||
| 2 | 11 | 10 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 3 | 6 | 5 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 3 | 2 | ||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Full analysis
The model puts Stourbridge at 53%. The model puts the draw at 23%. The model puts Racing Club Warwick at 24%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Stourbridge. Stourbridge is priced at 1.81. The draw is priced at 4.12. Racing Club Warwick is priced at 3.86.
Stourbridge have 0 wins in their last 3 matches. Racing Club Warwick have 0 wins in their last 3 matches.
The model gives 46% for both teams to score. The model gives 46% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Stourbridge or Racing Club Warwick?
Our model rates Stourbridge as the most likely outcome at 53% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Stourbridge vs Racing Club Warwick?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward a balanced game.
Odds movement
Match statistics
Match story
How the game unfoldedCautious start, both sides feeling each other out. (0–0)
Racing Club Warwick make it count (Aaron Opoku (19')). It's 0–1 at this point.
Half-time score: Stourbridge 0 – 1 Racing Club Warwick.
No goals but plenty of bite: 1 card(s) in this spell. Score holds at 0–1.
A tense finish, but the scoreline stays put. (0–1)
League table
England. Southern Premier League. Central| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Real Bedford | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 29:10 | 27 |
| 2 |  Bury Town | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 18:8 | 24 |
| 3 |  Bromsgrove | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 17:8 | 22 |
| 4 |  Alvechurch | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 17:4 | 20 |
| 5 |  Kettering Town | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 16:6 | 18 |
| 6 |  Anstey Nomads | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 16:13 | 15 |
| 7 |  Rushall Olympic | 9 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 16:14 | 15 |
| 8 |  Needham Market | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 15:11 | 13 |
| 9 |  Peterborough Sports | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 15:13 | 13 |
| 10 |  Halesowen Town | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 8:8 | 12 |
| 11 |  Leiston | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 17:17 | 11 |
| 12 |  Redditch United | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 12:13 | 10 |
| 13 | Stourbridge | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9:11 | 10 |
| 14 |  Bishop's Stortford | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 10:13 | 10 |
| 15 | Racing Club Warwick | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 10:14 | 7 |
| 16 |  Worcester City | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 7:12 | 7 |
| 17 |  Hitchin Town | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 7:12 | 7 |
| 18 |  Leamington | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 8:14 | 6 |
| 19 |  Banbury United | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 9:16 | 6 |
| 20 |  Stratford Town | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 9:18 | 6 |
| 21 |  Leighton Town | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 10:16 | 5 |
| 22 |  Stamford | 9 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 1:25 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.