Rushall Olympic vs Needham Market: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Rushall Olympicvs
Needham MarketThe model puts Needham Market at 45%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +The head-to-head record favours Needham Market (2-3-4).
Win probabilities
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Rushall Olympic have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Needham Market have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Rushall Olympic have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Needham Market is priced at 2.17.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 1 | |
| 1 | 9 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 1 | |
| 2 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | |||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Full analysis
The model puts Rushall Olympic at 32%. The model puts the draw at 23%. The model puts Needham Market at 45%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market frames this as a close contest. Rushall Olympic is priced at 2.92. The draw is priced at 4. Needham Market is priced at 2.17.
Rushall Olympic have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings. Needham Market have won 4 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 3 of their head-to-head meetings.
Rushall Olympic have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. Needham Market have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 52% for both teams to score. The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Rushall Olympic or Needham Market?
Our model rates Needham Market as the most likely outcome at 45% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Rushall Olympic vs Needham Market?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 9 meetings: 2 Rushall Olympic wins, 3 draws, 4 Needham Market wins.
Odds movement
Match statistics
Match story
How the game unfoldedRushall Olympic make it count (Luke Yates (6')). It's 1–0 at this point.
Rushall Olympic make it count (Unknown (24'), Okuonghae Осазе (41')). It's 3–0 at this point.
Half-time score: Rushall Olympic 3 – 0 Needham Market.
An end-to-end spell with goals at both ends (Luke Yates (50'), Luke Pearce (53')). Score moves to 4–1.
A tense finish, but the scoreline stays put. (4–1)
League table
England. Southern Premier League. Central| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Real Bedford | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 29:10 | 27 |
| 2 |  Bury Town | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 18:8 | 24 |
| 3 |  Bromsgrove | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 17:8 | 22 |
| 4 |  Alvechurch | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 17:4 | 20 |
| 5 |  Kettering Town | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 16:6 | 18 |
| 6 |  Anstey Nomads | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 16:13 | 15 |
| 7 | Rushall Olympic | 9 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 16:14 | 15 |
| 8 | Needham Market | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 15:11 | 13 |
| 9 |  Peterborough Sports | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 15:13 | 13 |
| 10 |  Halesowen Town | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 8:8 | 12 |
| 11 |  Leiston | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 17:17 | 11 |
| 12 |  Redditch United | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 12:13 | 10 |
| 13 |  Stourbridge | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9:11 | 10 |
| 14 |  Bishop's Stortford | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 10:13 | 10 |
| 15 |  Racing Club Warwick | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 10:14 | 7 |
| 16 |  Worcester City | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 7:12 | 7 |
| 17 |  Hitchin Town | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 7:12 | 7 |
| 18 |  Leamington | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 8:14 | 6 |
| 19 |  Banbury United | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 9:16 | 6 |
| 20 |  Stratford Town | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 9:18 | 6 |
| 21 |  Leighton Town | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 10:16 | 5 |
| 22 |  Stamford | 9 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 1:25 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.