Hyde United vs Stockton Town: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Hyde Unitedvs
Stockton TownThe model puts Hyde United at 40%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Hyde United.
- +The head-to-head record favours Hyde United (2-1-1).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Hyde United have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Stockton Town have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Hyde United have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Hyde United is priced at 2.555.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 1 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 3 | ||
| 2 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 4 | 4 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 1 | 1 | ||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Hyde United at 40%. The model puts the draw at 23%. The model puts Stockton Town at 36%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market frames this as a close contest. Hyde United is priced at 2.555. The draw is priced at 3.86. Stockton Town is priced at 2.48.
Hyde United have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings. Stockton Town have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.
Hyde United have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Stockton Town have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 53% for both teams to score. The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Hyde United or Stockton Town?
Our model rates Hyde United as the most likely outcome at 40% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Hyde United vs Stockton Town?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 4 meetings: 2 Hyde United wins, 1 draws, 1 Stockton Town wins.
Odds movement
Match statistics
Match story
How the game unfoldedCautious start, both sides feeling each other out. (0–0)
Hyde United make it count (Walker To. (45+3')). It's 1–0 at this point.
Half-time score: Hyde United 1 – 0 Stockton Town.
The game settles after the break without a breakthrough. (1–0)
A tense finish, but the scoreline stays put. (1–0)
League table
England. Northern Premier League| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Cleethorpes Town | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 25:6 | 23 |
| 2 |  Avro | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 28:16 | 22 |
| 3 |  Redcar Athletic | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 19:7 | 22 |
| 4 |  Guiseley | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 22:11 | 19 |
| 5 |  Workington | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 20:16 | 19 |
| 6 |  Warrington Town | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 18:14 | 17 |
| 7 |  Bury | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 19:8 | 16 |
| 8 |  Curzon Ashton | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 18:10 | 16 |
| 9 |  Rylands | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 13:13 | 16 |
| 10 |  Alfreton Town | 10 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 16:10 | 15 |
| 11 |  Gainsborough Trinity | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 14:12 | 13 |
| 12 |  Lancaster City | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 11:18 | 13 |
| 13 |  Whitby Town | 10 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 15:26 | 12 |
| 14 |  Ashton United | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 10:9 | 11 |
| 15 | Hyde United | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 11:19 | 11 |
| 16 |  Emley | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 9:18 | 10 |
| 17 |  Leek Town | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 19:20 | 9 |
| 18 |  Bamber Bridge | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 14:27 | 9 |
| 19 | Stockton Town | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 13:20 | 8 |
| 20 |  Ilkeston | 10 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 6:22 | 7 |
| 21 |  Quorn | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 12:23 | 6 |
| 22 |  United of Manchester | 9 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 12:19 | 5 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.