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England. Northern Premier League

Bamber Bridge vs Quorn: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

Bamber Bridge Bamber BridgevsQuorn Quorn
Our predictionBamber Bridge to win
Model score: Low · 29/100
Score hint: 1-0

The model puts Bamber Bridge at 40%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: low.

Win probabilities

1 · Bamber Bridge40%
Draw23%
2 · Quorn37%
1 · Bamber BridgeDraw2 · Quorn
Full team comparison →

Expected goals

1.16Bamber Bridge
xG
0.98Quorn
Over 2.5 goals36%
Both teams to score43%
Team strength rating
Bamber Bridge
54
Quorn
54

Most likely scorelines

1-013.7%
1-113.4%
0-011.8%
0-111.5%
2-07.9%
2-17.8%

Recent form

Bamber Bridge
QuornWLL

Match DNA

AttackDefenseFormStrengthH2HVenue
Bamber Bridge Quorn

Key points

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment
1X2Bamber Bridge win2.39Fair (+0.5%)
Double chanceBamber Bridge or draw—Info

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A012345
0121262
1141372
28841
3331
4
5

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Model vs market

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.

1X2Bamber Bridge2.39+0.5%
1X2Draw4.13-0.2%
1X2Quorn2.55-0.3%
Our model BookmakerPositive edge = model disagreement, not a value bet. Not betting advice.

Full analysis

The model puts Bamber Bridge at 40%. The model puts the draw at 23%. The model puts Quorn at 37%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.

The market frames this as a close contest. Bamber Bridge is priced at 2.388. The draw is priced at 4.13. Quorn is priced at 2.552.

Quorn have 1 wins in their last 3 matches.

The model gives 43% for both teams to score. The model gives 36% for over 2.5 goals.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Prediction Track Record →Methodology →Model card →

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, Bamber Bridge or Quorn?

Our model rates Bamber Bridge as the most likely outcome at 40% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for Bamber Bridge vs Quorn?

A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

The indicators lean toward under 2.5 goals.

See odds at bookmakers

Odds movement

18.0613.819.555.301.04
Home 12.10 Draw 4.94 Away 1.27

Match statistics

15'⚽Friend Йессе
38'⚽Friend Йессе
Broughton⚽52'
Archie Lang⚽58'

Match story

How the game unfolded
0–15'0–0

Cautious start, both sides feeling each other out. (0–0)

15–45'0–2

Quorn make it count (Friend Йессе (15'), Friend Йессе (38')). It's 0–2 at this point.

15'⚽Friend Йессе38'⚽Friend Йессе
Half-time

Half-time score: Bamber Bridge 0 – 2 Quorn.

45–75'2–2

Bamber Bridge make it count (Broughton (52'), Archie Lang (58')). It's 2–2 at this point.

52'⚽Broughton58'⚽Archie Lang
75–90'+2–2

A tense finish, but the scoreline stays put. (2–2)

Full time: Bamber Bridge 2 – 2 Quorn

League table

England. Northern Premier League
#TeamGPWLTGPts
1Cleethorpes Town1071225:623
2Avro971128:1622
3Redcar Athletic1060419:722
4Guiseley1063122:1119
5Workington1063120:1619
6Warrington Town952218:1417
7Bury953119:816
8Curzon Ashton953118:1016
9Rylands1054113:1316
10Alfreton Town1055016:1015
11Gainsborough Trinity944114:1213
12Lancaster City1045111:1813
13Whitby Town1046015:2612
14Ashton United934210:911
15Hyde United1035211:1911
16Emley102449:1810
17Leek Town1025319:209
18Bamber Bridge1025314:279
19Stockton Town1026213:208
20Ilkeston102716:227
21Quorn915312:236
22United of Manchester916212:195
Promotion - England. National League North Promotion - England. Northern Premier League (Play-off: Round of 4) Promotion - England. Northern Premier League (Play-off: Round of 8) Relegation

Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.