Rylands vs Emley: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Rylandsvs
EmleyThe model puts Rylands at 66%. The model leans toward Rylands. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Rylands.
Win probabilities
Expected goals
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Match DNA
Key points
- Rylands have 1 wins in their last 3 matches.
- Emley have 0 wins in their last 3 matches.
- Rylands is priced at 1.488.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 16 | 7 | 1 | |||
| 1 | 22 | 10 | 2 | |||
| 2 | 16 | 7 | 1 | |||
| 3 | 8 | 3 | ||||
| 4 | 3 | 1 | ||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Full analysis
The model puts Rylands at 66%. The model puts the draw at 19%. The model puts Emley at 15%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Rylands. Rylands is priced at 1.488. The draw is priced at 4.76. Emley is priced at 5.85.
Rylands have 1 wins in their last 3 matches. Emley have 0 wins in their last 3 matches.
The model gives 26% for both teams to score. The model gives 28% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Rylands or Emley?
Our model rates Rylands as the most likely outcome at 66% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Rylands vs Emley?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward under 2.5 goals.
Odds movement
Match statistics
Match story
How the game unfoldedRylands make it count (Wood (14')). It's 1–0 at this point.
Rylands make it count (Wood (36')). It's 2–0 at this point.
Half-time score: Rylands 2 – 0 Emley.
An end-to-end spell with goals at both ends (Charlie Barks (51'), Wood (62')). Score moves to 3–1.
A tense finish, but the scoreline stays put. (3–1)
League table
England. Northern Premier League| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Cleethorpes Town | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 25:6 | 23 |
| 2 |  Avro | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 28:16 | 22 |
| 3 |  Redcar Athletic | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 19:7 | 22 |
| 4 |  Guiseley | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 22:11 | 19 |
| 5 |  Workington | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 20:16 | 19 |
| 6 |  Warrington Town | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 18:14 | 17 |
| 7 |  Bury | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 19:8 | 16 |
| 8 |  Curzon Ashton | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 18:10 | 16 |
| 9 | Rylands | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 13:13 | 16 |
| 10 |  Alfreton Town | 10 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 16:10 | 15 |
| 11 |  Gainsborough Trinity | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 14:12 | 13 |
| 12 |  Lancaster City | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 11:18 | 13 |
| 13 |  Whitby Town | 10 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 15:26 | 12 |
| 14 |  Ashton United | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 10:9 | 11 |
| 15 |  Hyde United | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 11:19 | 11 |
| 16 | Emley | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 9:18 | 10 |
| 17 |  Leek Town | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 19:20 | 9 |
| 18 |  Bamber Bridge | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 14:27 | 9 |
| 19 |  Stockton Town | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 13:20 | 8 |
| 20 |  Ilkeston | 10 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 6:22 | 7 |
| 21 |  Quorn | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 12:23 | 6 |
| 22 |  United of Manchester | 9 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 12:19 | 5 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.