Workington vs Cleethorpes Town: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Workingtonvs
Cleethorpes TownThe model puts Cleethorpes Town at 41%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: low.
Win probabilities
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Workington have 4 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Cleethorpes Town have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Cleethorpes Town is priced at 2.3.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 10 | 6 | 3 | ||
| 1 | 10 | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | |
| 2 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 1 | |||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Full analysis
The model puts Workington at 34%. The model puts the draw at 25%. The model puts Cleethorpes Town at 41%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market frames this as a close contest. Workington is priced at 2.82. The draw is priced at 3.8. Cleethorpes Town is priced at 2.3.
Cleethorpes Town have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.
Workington have 4 wins in their last 5 matches. Workington are on 2 wins in a row. Cleethorpes Town have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 53% for both teams to score. The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Workington or Cleethorpes Town?
Our model rates Cleethorpes Town as the most likely outcome at 41% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Workington vs Cleethorpes Town?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 2 meetings: 0 Workington wins, 1 draws, 1 Cleethorpes Town wins.
League table
England. Northern Premier League| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cleethorpes Town | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 25:6 | 23 |
| 2 |  Avro | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 28:16 | 22 |
| 3 |  Redcar Athletic | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 19:7 | 22 |
| 4 |  Guiseley | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 22:11 | 19 |
| 5 | Workington | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 20:16 | 19 |
| 6 |  Warrington Town | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 18:14 | 17 |
| 7 |  Bury | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 19:8 | 16 |
| 8 |  Curzon Ashton | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 18:10 | 16 |
| 9 |  Rylands | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 13:13 | 16 |
| 10 |  Alfreton Town | 10 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 16:10 | 15 |
| 11 |  Gainsborough Trinity | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 14:12 | 13 |
| 12 |  Lancaster City | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 11:18 | 13 |
| 13 |  Whitby Town | 10 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 15:26 | 12 |
| 14 |  Ashton United | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 10:9 | 11 |
| 15 |  Hyde United | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 11:19 | 11 |
| 16 |  Emley | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 9:18 | 10 |
| 17 |  Leek Town | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 19:20 | 9 |
| 18 |  Bamber Bridge | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 14:27 | 9 |
| 19 |  Stockton Town | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 13:20 | 8 |
| 20 |  Ilkeston | 10 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 6:22 | 7 |
| 21 |  Quorn | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 12:23 | 6 |
| 22 |  United of Manchester | 9 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 12:19 | 5 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.