Whitby Town vs Gainsborough Trinity: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Whitby Townvs
Gainsborough TrinityThe model puts Gainsborough Trinity at 52%. The model leans toward Gainsborough Trinity. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +The head-to-head record favours Gainsborough Trinity (2-1-12).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Whitby Town have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Gainsborough Trinity have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Whitby Town have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Gainsborough Trinity is priced at 1.78.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 2 | |
| 1 | 8 | 12 | 9 | 5 | 2 | |
| 2 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | |||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Whitby Town at 24%. The model puts the draw at 24%. The model puts Gainsborough Trinity at 52%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market leans toward Gainsborough Trinity. Whitby Town is priced at 3.73. The draw is priced at 3.58. Gainsborough Trinity is priced at 1.78.
Whitby Town have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings. Gainsborough Trinity have won 12 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.
Whitby Town have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. Gainsborough Trinity have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 50% for both teams to score. The model gives 47% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Whitby Town or Gainsborough Trinity?
Our model rates Gainsborough Trinity as the most likely outcome at 52% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Whitby Town vs Gainsborough Trinity?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 15 meetings: 2 Whitby Town wins, 1 draws, 12 Gainsborough Trinity wins.
Odds movement
League table
England. Northern Premier League| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Redcar Athletic | 11 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 22:8 | 25 |
| 2 |  Cleethorpes Town | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 26:7 | 24 |
| 3 |  Avro | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 28:16 | 22 |
| 4 |  Workington | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 21:17 | 20 |
| 5 |  Guiseley | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 22:11 | 19 |
| 6 |  Rylands | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 17:14 | 19 |
| 7 |  Warrington Town | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 18:14 | 17 |
| 8 |  Bury | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 19:8 | 16 |
| 9 |  Curzon Ashton | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 18:10 | 16 |
| 10 |  Lancaster City | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 13:19 | 16 |
| 11 |  Alfreton Town | 11 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 17:13 | 15 |
| 12 |  Hyde United | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 13:20 | 14 |
| 13 | Gainsborough Trinity | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 14:12 | 13 |
| 14 | Whitby Town | 10 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 15:26 | 12 |
| 15 |  Ashton United | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 10:9 | 11 |
| 16 |  Emley | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 10:22 | 10 |
| 17 |  Leek Town | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 19:20 | 9 |
| 18 |  Quorn | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 16:25 | 9 |
| 19 |  Bamber Bridge | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 16:31 | 9 |
| 20 |  Stockton Town | 11 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 14:22 | 8 |
| 21 |  Ilkeston | 11 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 7:24 | 7 |
| 22 |  United of Manchester | 9 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 12:19 | 5 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.