Quorn vs Ashton United: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Quornvs
Ashton UnitedThe model puts Ashton United at 40%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1. Confidence: low.
Win probabilities
Expected goals
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Match DNA
Key points
- The model sees this as a close contest.
- The model puts Quorn at 34%.
- The model puts the draw at 25%.
- Ashton United is priced at 2.21.
- Quorn are on 2 wins in a row.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 9 | 11 | 7 | 3 | ||
| 1 | 11 | 13 | 8 | 3 | ||
| 2 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | |||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Full analysis
The model puts Ashton United at 40%. The model puts Quorn at 34%.
The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1. The model gives 49% for both teams to score.
Quorn are on 2 wins in a row. Quorn have 2 wins in their last 4 matches.
The model sees this as a close contest. The market frames this as a close contest.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Quorn or Ashton United?
Our model rates Ashton United as the most likely outcome at 40% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Quorn vs Ashton United?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward a balanced game.
Odds movement
League table
England. Northern Premier League| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Redcar Athletic | 11 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 22:8 | 25 |
| 2 |  Cleethorpes Town | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 26:7 | 24 |
| 3 |  Avro | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 28:16 | 22 |
| 4 |  Workington | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 21:17 | 20 |
| 5 |  Guiseley | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 22:11 | 19 |
| 6 |  Rylands | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 17:14 | 19 |
| 7 |  Warrington Town | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 18:14 | 17 |
| 8 |  Bury | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 19:8 | 16 |
| 9 |  Curzon Ashton | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 18:10 | 16 |
| 10 |  Lancaster City | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 13:19 | 16 |
| 11 |  Alfreton Town | 11 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 17:13 | 15 |
| 12 |  Hyde United | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 13:20 | 14 |
| 13 |  Gainsborough Trinity | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 14:12 | 13 |
| 14 |  Whitby Town | 10 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 15:26 | 12 |
| 15 | Ashton United | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 10:9 | 11 |
| 16 |  Emley | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 10:22 | 10 |
| 17 |  Leek Town | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 19:20 | 9 |
| 18 | Quorn | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 16:25 | 9 |
| 19 |  Bamber Bridge | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 16:31 | 9 |
| 20 |  Stockton Town | 11 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 14:22 | 8 |
| 21 |  Ilkeston | 11 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 7:24 | 7 |
| 22 |  United of Manchester | 9 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 12:19 | 5 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.