Emley vs Bamber Bridge: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Emleyvs
Bamber BridgeThe model puts Emley at 44%. The model puts Bamber Bridge at 33%. Confidence: low.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −Recent form favours Bamber Bridge.
Win probabilities
Expected goals
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Match DNA
Key points
- Emley have 0 wins in their last 4 matches.
- Bamber Bridge have 1 wins in their last 3 matches.
- The model sees this as a close contest.
- The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 9 | 9 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 1 | 13 | 13 | 6 | 2 | ||
| 2 | 9 | 9 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 3 | 4 | 4 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 1 | 1 | ||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Full analysis
Emley have 0 wins in their last 4 matches. Bamber Bridge have 1 wins in their last 3 matches.
The model puts Emley at 44%. The model puts Bamber Bridge at 33%. The model puts the draw at 24%.
The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0. The model gives 48% for both teams to score. The model gives 43% for over 2.5 goals.
Emley is priced at 2.02. Bamber Bridge is priced at 2.931. The market leans toward Emley.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Emley or Bamber Bridge?
Our model rates Emley as the most likely outcome at 44% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Emley vs Bamber Bridge?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward a balanced game.
Odds movement
League table
England. Northern Premier League| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Redcar Athletic | 11 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 22:8 | 25 |
| 2 |  Cleethorpes Town | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 26:7 | 24 |
| 3 |  Avro | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 28:16 | 22 |
| 4 |  Workington | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 21:17 | 20 |
| 5 |  Guiseley | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 22:11 | 19 |
| 6 |  Rylands | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 17:14 | 19 |
| 7 |  Warrington Town | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 18:14 | 17 |
| 8 |  Bury | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 19:8 | 16 |
| 9 |  Curzon Ashton | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 18:10 | 16 |
| 10 |  Lancaster City | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 13:19 | 16 |
| 11 |  Alfreton Town | 11 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 17:13 | 15 |
| 12 |  Hyde United | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 13:20 | 14 |
| 13 |  Gainsborough Trinity | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 14:12 | 13 |
| 14 |  Whitby Town | 10 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 15:26 | 12 |
| 15 |  Ashton United | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 10:9 | 11 |
| 16 | Emley | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 10:22 | 10 |
| 17 |  Leek Town | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 19:20 | 9 |
| 18 |  Quorn | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 16:25 | 9 |
| 19 | Bamber Bridge | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 16:31 | 9 |
| 20 |  Stockton Town | 11 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 14:22 | 8 |
| 21 |  Ilkeston | 11 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 7:24 | 7 |
| 22 |  United of Manchester | 9 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 12:19 | 5 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.