Leamington vs Halesowen Town: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Leamingtonvs
Halesowen TownThe model puts Halesowen Town at 38%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: low.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Halesowen Town.
- −The head-to-head record favours Leamington (4-2-2).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Leamington have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Halesowen Town have 4 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Leamington have won 4 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Halesowen Town is priced at 2.45.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 2 | ||
| 1 | 10 | 13 | 8 | 3 | 1 | |
| 2 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 3 | 4 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 1 | 1 | ||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Leamington at 37%. The model puts the draw at 26%. The model puts Halesowen Town at 38%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market frames this as a close contest. Leamington is priced at 2.55. The draw is priced at 3.25. Halesowen Town is priced at 2.45.
Leamington have won 4 of the head-to-head meetings. Halesowen Town have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 2 of their head-to-head meetings.
Leamington have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. Halesowen Town have 4 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 53% for both teams to score. The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Leamington or Halesowen Town?
Our model rates Halesowen Town as the most likely outcome at 38% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Leamington vs Halesowen Town?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 8 meetings: 4 Leamington wins, 2 draws, 2 Halesowen Town wins.
Odds movement
League table
England. Southern Premier League. Central| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Real Bedford | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 29:10 | 27 |
| 2 |  Bury Town | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 18:8 | 24 |
| 3 |  Bromsgrove | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 17:8 | 22 |
| 4 |  Alvechurch | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 17:4 | 20 |
| 5 |  Kettering Town | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 16:6 | 18 |
| 6 |  Rushall Olympic | 10 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 21:17 | 18 |
| 7 |  Peterborough Sports | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 19:15 | 16 |
| 8 |  Anstey Nomads | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 16:13 | 15 |
| 9 |  Needham Market | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 18:16 | 13 |
| 10 | Halesowen Town | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 8:8 | 12 |
| 11 |  Leiston | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 17:17 | 11 |
| 12 |  Redditch United | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 12:13 | 10 |
| 13 |  Racing Club Warwick | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 11:14 | 10 |
| 14 |  Bishop's Stortford | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 10:13 | 10 |
| 15 |  Stourbridge | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 9:12 | 10 |
| 16 | Leamington | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 12:14 | 9 |
| 17 |  Worcester City | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 7:12 | 7 |
| 18 |  Hitchin Town | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 7:16 | 7 |
| 19 |  Banbury United | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 9:16 | 6 |
| 20 |  Stratford Town | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 9:18 | 6 |
| 21 |  Leighton Town | 9 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 12:20 | 5 |
| 22 |  Stamford | 9 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 1:25 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.