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England. Premier League

Coventry City vs Fulham: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

Coventry City Coventry CityvsFulham Fulham
Our predictionFulham to win
Model score: Low · 12/100
Score hint: 0-1

The model puts Fulham at 41%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: low.

Win probabilities

1 · Coventry City32%
Draw27%
2 · Fulham41%
1 · Coventry CityDraw2 · Fulham
Full team comparison →

Model vs market

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.

BTTSNo2.26+6.2%
1X2Coventry City3.01+0.6%
1X2Draw3.48-0.2%
1X2Fulham2.31-0.4%
BTTSYes1.58-6.2%
Our model BookmakerPositive edge = model disagreement, not a value bet. Not betting advice.

Most likely scorelines

1-112.6%
0-110.1%
1-09.4%
1-28.4%
2-17.8%
0-07.5%
Team strength rating
Coventry City
40
Fulham
64

Recent form

Coventry CityLDWDW
FulhamLWWWL

Expected goals

1.25Coventry City
xG
1.34Fulham
Over 2.5 goals48%
Both teams to score53%

Match DNA

AttackDefenseFormStrengthH2HVenue
Coventry City Fulham

Key points

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment
1X2Fulham win2.31Fair
Double chanceFulham or draw—Info

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A012345
0810731
1913841
26852
3232
41
5

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Full analysis

The model puts Coventry City at 32%. The model puts the draw at 27%. The model puts Fulham at 41%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.

The market frames this as a close contest. Coventry City is priced at 3.01. The draw is priced at 3.48. Fulham is priced at 2.31.

Fulham have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings.

Coventry City have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Fulham have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.

The model gives 53% for both teams to score. The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Prediction Track Record →Methodology →Model card →

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, Coventry City or Fulham?

Our model rates Fulham as the most likely outcome at 41% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for Coventry City vs Fulham?

A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

What's the head-to-head record?

In the last 2 meetings: 0 Coventry City wins, 0 draws, 2 Fulham wins.

See odds at bookmakers

League table

England. Premier League
#TeamGPWLTGPts
1Manchester City660016:518
2Arsenal651010:515
3Brighton & Hove Albion641118:513
4Brentford620412:610
5Everton62048:510
6Chelsea632115:1310
7Leeds United62138:59
8Hull City62138:69
9Liverpool62137:79
10Ipswich Town63309:129
11Newcastle United622210:138
12Crystal Palace62319:127
13Manchester United61239:96
14Coventry City62405:116
15Nottingham Forest61325:85
16Aston Villa61326:115
17Sunderland61416:124
18Bournemouth60337:133
19Tottenham Hotspur60333:93
20Fulham60426:102
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Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.