Workington vs Whitby Town: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Workingtonvs
Whitby TownThe model puts Workington at 55%. The model leans toward Workington. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Workington.
- −The head-to-head history is finely balanced.
Win probabilities
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Workington have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Whitby Town have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Workington have won 6 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Workington is priced at 1.67.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 6 | 2 | |||
| 1 | 13 | 11 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 2 | 12 | 10 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 3 | 7 | 6 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | |||
| 5 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Full analysis
The model puts Workington at 55%. The model puts the draw at 23%. The model puts Whitby Town at 22%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Workington. Workington is priced at 1.67. The draw is priced at 3.95. Whitby Town is priced at 3.89.
Workington have won 6 of the head-to-head meetings. Whitby Town have won 4 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 5 of their head-to-head meetings.
Workington have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. Whitby Town have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 47% for both teams to score. The model gives 49% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Workington or Whitby Town?
Our model rates Workington as the most likely outcome at 55% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Workington vs Whitby Town?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 15 meetings: 6 Workington wins, 5 draws, 4 Whitby Town wins.
Detailed stats, lineups and the live match story will appear here once match data becomes available.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.