Lancaster City vs Stockton Town: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Lancaster Cityvs
Stockton TownThe model puts Lancaster City at 40%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +The head-to-head record favours Lancaster City (2-1-1).
Win probabilities
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Lancaster City have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Stockton Town have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Lancaster City have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Lancaster City is priced at 2.3.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 1 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 3 | ||
| 2 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 4 | 4 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 1 | 2 | ||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Full analysis
The model puts Lancaster City at 40%. The model puts the draw at 25%. The model puts Stockton Town at 35%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market frames this as a close contest. Lancaster City is priced at 2.3. The draw is priced at 3.5. Stockton Town is priced at 2.49.
Lancaster City have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings. Stockton Town have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.
Lancaster City have 0 wins in their last 5 matches. Stockton Town have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 53% for both teams to score. The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Lancaster City or Stockton Town?
Our model rates Lancaster City as the most likely outcome at 40% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Lancaster City vs Stockton Town?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 4 meetings: 2 Lancaster City wins, 1 draws, 1 Stockton Town wins.
Detailed stats, lineups and the live match story will appear here once match data becomes available.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.