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England. Northern Premier League

Rylands vs Curzon Ashton: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

Rylands RylandsvsCurzon Ashton Curzon Ashton
Our predictionCurzon Ashton to win
Model score: Low · 24/100
Score hint: 1-2

The model puts Curzon Ashton at 38%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: low.

Why this prediction

+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.

✗Our prediction missed (predicted: Curzon Ashton · actual: Rylands)

Win probabilities

1 · Rylands37%
Draw24%
2 · Curzon Ashton38%
1 · RylandsDraw2 · Curzon Ashton
Full team comparison →

Model vs market

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.

1X2Curzon Ashton2.50+2.4%
1X2Rylands2.31-1.1%
1X2Draw3.45-1.3%
Our model BookmakerPositive edge = model disagreement, not a value bet. Not betting advice.

Expected goals

1.72Rylands
xG
1.58Curzon Ashton
Over 2.5 goals64%
Both teams to score65%

Most likely scorelines

1-110.0%
2-18.6%
1-27.9%
2-26.8%
1-06.4%
0-15.8%
Team strength rating
Rylands
49
Curzon Ashton
67

Recent form

RylandsLDWWL
Curzon AshtonWWWW

Match DNA

AttackDefenseFormStrengthH2HVenue
Rylands Curzon Ashton

Key points

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment
1X2Curzon Ashton win2.50Fair (+2.4%)
Double chanceCurzon Ashton or draw—Info

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A012345
04652
1610842
259741
33542
4122
5

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Full analysis

The model puts Rylands at 37%. The model puts the draw at 24%. The model puts Curzon Ashton at 38%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-2.

The market frames this as a close contest. Rylands is priced at 2.31. The draw is priced at 3.45. Curzon Ashton is priced at 2.5.

Rylands have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Curzon Ashton have 4 wins in their last 4 matches. Curzon Ashton are on 4 wins in a row.

The model gives 65% for both teams to score. The model gives 64% for over 2.5 goals.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Prediction Track Record →Methodology →Model card →

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, Rylands or Curzon Ashton?

Our model rates Curzon Ashton as the most likely outcome at 38% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for Rylands vs Curzon Ashton?

A scoreline around 1-2 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.

See odds at bookmakers

Detailed stats, lineups and the live match story will appear here once match data becomes available.

Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.