Hanwell Town vs Chertsey Town: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Hanwell Townvs
Chertsey TownThe model puts Hanwell Town at 40%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +The head-to-head record favours Hanwell Town (4-0-1).
Win probabilities
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Hanwell Town have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Chertsey Town have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Hanwell Town have won 4 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Hanwell Town is priced at 2.375.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 1 | 10 | 12 | 7 | 3 | ||
| 2 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 4 | 4 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 1 | 1 | ||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Full analysis
The model puts Hanwell Town at 40%. The model puts the draw at 25%. The model puts Chertsey Town at 35%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market frames this as a close contest. Hanwell Town is priced at 2.375. The draw is priced at 3.44. Chertsey Town is priced at 2.44.
Hanwell Town have won 4 of the head-to-head meetings. Chertsey Town have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
Hanwell Town have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. Chertsey Town have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. Chertsey Town are on 2 wins in a row.
The model gives 53% for both teams to score. The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Hanwell Town or Chertsey Town?
Our model rates Hanwell Town as the most likely outcome at 40% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Hanwell Town vs Chertsey Town?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 5 meetings: 4 Hanwell Town wins, 0 draws, 1 Chertsey Town wins.
Detailed stats, lineups and the live match story will appear here once match data becomes available.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.