Evesham United vs Bath City: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Evesham Unitedvs
Bath CityThe model puts Bath City at 59%. The model leans toward Bath City. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Bath City.
- +The head-to-head record favours Bath City (0-1-2).
Win probabilities
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Evesham United have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Bath City have 4 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Bath City is priced at 1.58.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8 | 13 | 12 | 7 | 3 | |
| 1 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 6 | 2 | |
| 2 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 1 | 1 | ||||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Full analysis
The model puts Evesham United at 19%. The model puts the draw at 22%. The model puts Bath City at 59%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market leans toward Bath City. Evesham United is priced at 4.66. The draw is priced at 3.82. Bath City is priced at 1.58.
Bath City have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.
Evesham United have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Bath City have 4 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 46% for both teams to score. The model gives 47% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Evesham United or Bath City?
Our model rates Bath City as the most likely outcome at 59% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Evesham United vs Bath City?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 3 meetings: 0 Evesham United wins, 1 draws, 2 Bath City wins.
Detailed stats, lineups and the live match story will appear here once match data becomes available.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.