Leamington vs Redditch United: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Leamingtonvs
Redditch UnitedThe model puts Leamington at 43%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: low.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −Recent form favours Redditch United.
- +The head-to-head record favours Leamington (7-4-3).
Win probabilities
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Leamington have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Redditch United have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Leamington have won 7 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Leamington is priced at 2.12.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 2 | ||
| 1 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 2 | ||
| 2 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 4 | 5 | 3 | |||
| 4 | 2 | 2 | ||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Full analysis
The model puts Leamington at 43%. The model puts the draw at 24%. The model puts Redditch United at 33%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market frames this as a close contest. Leamington is priced at 2.12. The draw is priced at 3.42. Redditch United is priced at 2.902.
Leamington have won 7 of the head-to-head meetings. Redditch United have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 4 of their head-to-head meetings.
Leamington have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. Redditch United have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 52% for both teams to score. The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Leamington or Redditch United?
Our model rates Leamington as the most likely outcome at 43% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Leamington vs Redditch United?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 14 meetings: 7 Leamington wins, 4 draws, 3 Redditch United wins.
Detailed stats, lineups and the live match story will appear here once match data becomes available.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.