Chippenham Town vs Frome Town: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Chippenham Townvs
Frome TownThe model puts Frome Town at 42%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +The head-to-head record favours Frome Town (2-7-6).
Win probabilities
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Chippenham Town have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Frome Town have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Chippenham Town have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Frome Town is priced at 2.23.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 1 | |
| 1 | 9 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 1 | |
| 2 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | |||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Full analysis
The model puts Chippenham Town at 32%. The model puts the draw at 26%. The model puts Frome Town at 42%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market frames this as a close contest. Chippenham Town is priced at 2.789. The draw is priced at 3.32. Frome Town is priced at 2.23.
Chippenham Town have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings. Frome Town have won 6 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 7 of their head-to-head meetings.
Chippenham Town have 0 wins in their last 5 matches. Frome Town have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 53% for both teams to score. The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Chippenham Town or Frome Town?
Our model rates Frome Town as the most likely outcome at 42% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Chippenham Town vs Frome Town?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 15 meetings: 2 Chippenham Town wins, 7 draws, 6 Frome Town wins.
Detailed stats, lineups and the live match story will appear here once match data becomes available.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.