Plymouth Parkway vs Wimborne Town: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Plymouth Parkwayvs
Wimborne TownThe model puts Plymouth Parkway at 39%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: low.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −Recent form favours Wimborne Town.
- −The head-to-head history is finely balanced.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Plymouth Parkway have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Wimborne Town have 5 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Plymouth Parkway have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Plymouth Parkway is priced at 2.22.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 1 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 3 | ||
| 2 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 4 | 4 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 1 | 1 | ||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Plymouth Parkway at 39%. The model puts the draw at 26%. The model puts Wimborne Town at 35%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market frames this as a close contest. Plymouth Parkway is priced at 2.22. The draw is priced at 3.36. Wimborne Town is priced at 2.769.
Plymouth Parkway have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings. Wimborne Town have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings.
Plymouth Parkway have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Wimborne Town have 5 wins in their last 5 matches. Wimborne Town are on 5 wins in a row.
The model gives 53% for both teams to score. The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Plymouth Parkway or Wimborne Town?
Our model rates Plymouth Parkway as the most likely outcome at 39% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Plymouth Parkway vs Wimborne Town?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 4 meetings: 2 Plymouth Parkway wins, 0 draws, 2 Wimborne Town wins.
Detailed stats, lineups and the live match story will appear here once match data becomes available.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.