Dynamo Dresden vs 1. Magdeburg: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Dynamo Dresdenvs
1. MagdeburgThe model puts 1. Magdeburg at 42%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours 1. Magdeburg.
- +The head-to-head record favours 1. Magdeburg (3-5-7).
- +Dynamo Dresden are dealing with notable absentees.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Expected goals
Most likely scorelines
Match DNA
Key points
- Dynamo Dresden have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
- 1. Magdeburg have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Dynamo Dresden have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Dynamo Dresden will be without Bunning, Ezeh, Keller T., Schmidt.
- 1. Magdeburg will be without Musonda L..
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 1 | |
| 1 | 8 | 12 | 9 | 4 | 2 | |
| 2 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 1 | |
| 3 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | ||
| 4 | 1 | 1 | ||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Dynamo Dresden at 35%. The model puts the draw at 24%. The model puts 1. Magdeburg at 42%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-2.
The market frames this as a close contest. Dynamo Dresden is priced at 2.53. The draw is priced at 3.62. 1. Magdeburg is priced at 2.48.
Dynamo Dresden have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings. 1. Magdeburg have won 7 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 5 of their head-to-head meetings.
Dynamo Dresden have 0 wins in their last 5 matches. 1. Magdeburg have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
Dynamo Dresden average 1 goals per game this season. Dynamo Dresden average 56% possession. 1. Magdeburg average 2 goals per game this season. 1. Magdeburg average 63% possession.
The model gives 58% for both teams to score. The model gives 55% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Dynamo Dresden or 1. Magdeburg?
Our model rates 1. Magdeburg as the most likely outcome at 42% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Dynamo Dresden vs 1. Magdeburg?
A scoreline around 1-2 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 15 meetings: 3 Dynamo Dresden wins, 5 draws, 7 1. Magdeburg wins.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.
Odds movement
Match statistics
Dynamo Dresden
- 6Rapp N.
- 9Vermeij
- 18Wagner
- 19Rossipal A.
- 20Bobzien
- 21Raschl
- 22Grill L.
- 24Covic
- 27Hauptmann
- 32Sterner
- 42Muller
- Bunning (Missing Player)
- Ezeh (Questionable)
- Keller T. (Missing Player)
- Schmidt (Missing Player)
1. Magdeburg
- 1Rainmann
- 3Гарсия Макналти
- 5Muller Tobi.
- 7Bockhorn
- 8Iyoha
- 10Kwarteng
- 22Zukowski M.
- 23Atik Bar.
- 26Musel
- 28Nadjombe
- 38Hyrylainen
- Musonda L. (Missing Player)
League table
Germany. 2. Bundesliga| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Hertha BSC | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 19:8 | 22 |
| 2 |  Nurnberg | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 21:11 | 18 |
| 3 |  VfL Wolfsburg | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 22:13 | 15 |
| 4 |  1. Kaiserslautern | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 8:4 | 15 |
| 5 |  1. Heidenheim | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 15:15 | 14 |
| 6 | 1. Magdeburg | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 14:9 | 13 |
| 7 |  St. Pauli | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 11:9 | 11 |
| 8 |  Energie Cottbus | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 16:17 | 9 |
| 9 |  Greuther Furth | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 12:13 | 9 |
| 10 |  Arminia Bielefeld | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 11:12 | 8 |
| 11 |  VfL Osnabruck | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10:13 | 8 |
| 12 |  Hannover 96 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 8:13 | 8 |
| 13 |  Eintracht Braunschweig | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 13:15 | 7 |
| 14 |  VfL Bochum | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 5:9 | 7 |
| 15 |  Darmstadt 98 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 8:14 | 7 |
| 16 |  Holstein | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 7:11 | 5 |
| 17 | Dynamo Dresden | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 9:15 | 5 |
| 18 |  Karlsruher | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 6:14 | 5 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.