Havant & Waterlooville vs Basingstoke Town: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Havant & Waterloovillevs
Basingstoke TownThe model puts Havant & Waterlooville at 44%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: low.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −Recent form favours Basingstoke Town.
- +The head-to-head record favours Havant & Waterlooville (11-4-0).
Win probabilities
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Havant & Waterlooville have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Basingstoke Town have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Havant & Waterlooville have won 11 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Havant & Waterlooville is priced at 2.09.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 2 | ||
| 1 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 2 | ||
| 2 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 4 | 5 | 3 | |||
| 4 | 2 | 2 | ||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Full analysis
The model puts Havant & Waterlooville at 44%. The model puts the draw at 24%. The model puts Basingstoke Town at 32%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market frames this as a close contest. Havant & Waterlooville is priced at 2.09. The draw is priced at 3.52. Basingstoke Town is priced at 2.89.
Havant & Waterlooville have won 11 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 4 of their head-to-head meetings.
Havant & Waterlooville have 0 wins in their last 5 matches. Basingstoke Town have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 52% for both teams to score. The model gives 49% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Havant & Waterlooville or Basingstoke Town?
Our model rates Havant & Waterlooville as the most likely outcome at 44% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Havant & Waterlooville vs Basingstoke Town?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 15 meetings: 11 Havant & Waterlooville wins, 4 draws, 0 Basingstoke Town wins.
Detailed stats, lineups and the live match story will appear here once match data becomes available.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.