Angers SCO vs Lorient: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Angers SCOvs
LorientThe model puts Lorient at 41%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Lorient.
- −The head-to-head history is finely balanced.
- +Angers SCO are dealing with notable absentees.
- −Lorient are dealing with notable absentees.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Expected goals
Most likely scorelines
Match DNA
Key points
- Angers SCO have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Lorient have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Angers SCO have won 5 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Angers SCO will be without Biumla, Belkebla, Camara.
- Lorient will be without Mbamba, Fadiga.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 12 | 13 | 7 | 3 | ||
| 1 | 12 | 13 | 8 | 3 | ||
| 2 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Angers SCO at 31%. The model puts the draw at 28%. The model puts Lorient at 41%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market frames this as a close contest. Angers SCO is priced at 2.99. The draw is priced at 3.26. Lorient is priced at 2.425.
Angers SCO have won 5 of the head-to-head meetings. Lorient have won 7 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 3 of their head-to-head meetings.
Angers SCO have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. Lorient have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. Lorient are on 2 wins in a row.
Angers SCO average 1 goals per game this season. Angers SCO average 50% possession. Lorient average 1 goals per game this season. Lorient average 41% possession.
The model gives 43% for both teams to score. The model gives 36% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Angers SCO or Lorient?
Our model rates Lorient as the most likely outcome at 41% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Angers SCO vs Lorient?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 15 meetings: 5 Angers SCO wins, 3 draws, 7 Lorient wins.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward under 2.5 goals.
League table
France. Ligue 1| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Lyon | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 13:5 | 14 |
| 2 |  Paris Saint-Germain | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14:9 | 14 |
| 3 |  Paris | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 12:7 | 14 |
| 4 |  Lille OSC | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10:5 | 14 |
| 5 |  AS Monaco | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10:6 | 14 |
| 6 |  Stade Rennais | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 15:14 | 13 |
| 7 | Lorient | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7:6 | 11 |
| 8 |  RC Lens | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 14:11 | 10 |
| 9 |  Olympique de Marseille | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 14:10 | 9 |
| 10 |  Stade Brestois 29 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 13:10 | 9 |
| 11 |  Toulouse | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 12:11 | 9 |
| 12 |  Auxerre | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 11:17 | 9 |
| 13 |  Nice | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 6:9 | 8 |
| 14 |  Strasbourg | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 12:15 | 7 |
| 15 | Angers SCO | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 9:15 | 7 |
| 16 |  Le Mans | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 10:15 | 6 |
| 17 |  Troyes AC | 7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 5:16 | 4 |
| 18 |  Le Havre | 7 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 5:11 | 2 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.