Celta vs Real Betis: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Celtavs
Real BetisThe model puts Real Betis at 38%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: low.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Celta.
- −The head-to-head history is finely balanced.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Celta have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Real Betis have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Celta have won 5 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Real Betis is priced at 2.575.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 10 | 6 | 3 | ||
| 1 | 10 | 13 | 8 | 3 | 1 | |
| 2 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 3 | 4 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 1 | |||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Celta at 34%. The model puts the draw at 28%. The model puts Real Betis at 38%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market frames this as a close contest. Celta is priced at 2.675. The draw is priced at 3.44. Real Betis is priced at 2.575.
Celta have won 5 of the head-to-head meetings. Real Betis have won 5 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 5 of their head-to-head meetings.
Celta have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. Real Betis have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 53% for both teams to score. The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Celta or Real Betis?
Our model rates Real Betis as the most likely outcome at 38% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Celta vs Real Betis?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 15 meetings: 5 Celta wins, 5 draws, 5 Real Betis wins.
League table
Spain. La Liga| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 34:7 | 24 |
| 2 |  Atletico Madrid | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 18:8 | 19 |
| 3 | Real Betis | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 14:9 | 19 |
| 4 |  Real Madrid | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 19:8 | 18 |
| 5 |  Sevilla | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13:12 | 14 |
| 6 |  Real Sociedad | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 12:15 | 13 |
| 7 |  Deportivo Alaves | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 12:8 | 11 |
| 8 |  Deportivo de A Coruna | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 12:11 | 10 |
| 9 | Celta | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8:6 | 8 |
| 10 |  Athletic Bilbao | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7:6 | 8 |
| 11 |  Villarreal | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 13:13 | 8 |
| 12 |  Espanyol | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 11:11 | 8 |
| 13 |  Rayo Vallecano | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 11:16 | 8 |
| 14 |  Getafe | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 4:10 | 8 |
| 15 |  Racing de Santander | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 13:23 | 8 |
| 16 |  Osasuna | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 8:18 | 8 |
| 17 |  Levante UD | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 11:15 | 6 |
| 18 |  Elche | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 11:17 | 6 |
| 19 |  Valencia | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 6:15 | 5 |
| 20 |  Malaga | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 4:13 | 4 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.