Kashiwa Reysol vs Port: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Kashiwa Reysolvs
PortThe model puts Kashiwa Reysol at 81%. The model leans toward Kashiwa Reysol. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Kashiwa Reysol.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Expected goals
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Match DNA
Key points
- Kashiwa Reysol have 4 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Port have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Kashiwa Reysol is priced at 1.18.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2 | |||||
| 1 | 7 | 3 | ||||
| 2 | 11 | 5 | 1 | |||
| 3 | 14 | 6 | 1 | |||
| 4 | 12 | 6 | 1 | |||
| 5 | 8 | 4 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Kashiwa Reysol at 81%. The model puts the draw at 12%. The model puts Port at 6%. The model's most likely scoreline is 3-0.
The market leans toward Kashiwa Reysol. Kashiwa Reysol is priced at 1.18. The draw is priced at 7.3. Port is priced at 14.
Kashiwa Reysol have 4 wins in their last 5 matches. Kashiwa Reysol are on 4 wins in a row. Port have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 36% for both teams to score. The model gives 76% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Kashiwa Reysol or Port?
Our model rates Kashiwa Reysol as the most likely outcome at 81% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Kashiwa Reysol vs Port?
A scoreline around 3-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.
Odds movement
League table
AFC Champions League Elite - League stage| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Kashima Antlers | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7:1 | 3 |
| 2 |  Gamba Osaka | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 |
| 3 |  Shanghai Port | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6:4 | 3 |
| 4 |  Beijing Guoan | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 3 |
| 5 |  Vissel Kobe | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 6 |  Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 7 |  Daejeon Hana Citizen | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 8 |  Buriram United | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 9 |  Darul Takzim | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 10 | Kashiwa Reysol | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 11 | Port | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 12 |  Kyoto Sanga | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 13 |  Ratchaburi | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4:6 | 0 |
| 14 |  Pohang Steelers | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:3 | 0 |
| 15 |  Hanoi Police | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:4 | 0 |
| 16 |  Newcastle Jets | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:7 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.