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AFC Champions League 2

Tampines Rovers vs Machida Zelvia: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

Tampines Rovers Tampines RoversvsMachida Zelvia Machida Zelvia
Our predictionMachida Zelvia to win
Model score: High · 92/100
Score hint: 0-2

The model puts Machida Zelvia at 75%. The model leans toward Machida Zelvia. Confidence: high.

Why this prediction

+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.

Win probabilities

1 · Tampines Rovers10%
Draw15%
2 · Machida Zelvia75%
1 · Tampines RoversDraw2 · Machida Zelvia
Full team comparison →
Team strength rating
Tampines Rovers
42
Machida Zelvia
86

Expected goals

0.58Tampines Rovers
xG
2.49Machida Zelvia
Over 2.5 goals59%
Both teams to score40%

Recent form

Tampines RoversWDLW
Machida ZelviaWWWLW

Most likely scorelines

0-214.4%
0-311.9%
0-111.5%
1-28.4%
0-47.4%
1-36.9%

Match DNA

AttackDefenseFormStrengthH2HVenue
Tampines Rovers Machida Zelvia

Key points

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment
1X2Machida Zelvia win1.24Fair

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A012345
0512141274
1378742
22221
3
4
5

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Model vs market

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.

1X2Tampines Rovers9.90+0.5%
1X2Machida Zelvia1.24+0.1%
1X2Draw5.89-0.6%
Our model BookmakerPositive edge = model disagreement, not a value bet. Not betting advice.

Full analysis

The model puts Tampines Rovers at 10%. The model puts the draw at 15%. The model puts Machida Zelvia at 75%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-2.

The market leans toward Machida Zelvia. Tampines Rovers is priced at 9.9. The draw is priced at 5.89. Machida Zelvia is priced at 1.243.

Tampines Rovers have 2 wins in their last 4 matches. Machida Zelvia have 4 wins in their last 5 matches. Machida Zelvia are on 3 wins in a row.

The model gives 40% for both teams to score. The model gives 59% for over 2.5 goals.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Prediction Track Record →Methodology →Model card →

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, Tampines Rovers or Machida Zelvia?

Our model rates Machida Zelvia as the most likely outcome at 75% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for Tampines Rovers vs Machida Zelvia?

A scoreline around 0-2 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.

See odds at bookmakers

Odds movement

11.458.886.313.751.18
Home 8.75 Draw 3.19 Away 1.56

Match statistics

0.1
Expected goals (xG)
0.82
35
Possession
65
0
Shots on target
1
0
Corners
0
1
Yellow cards
0
2
Shots off target
2
3
Offsides
0
56
Passes in final third
68
6
Fouls
10
Kazama K.🟨39'

Tampines Rovers

Starting XI
  • 6Mahler J.6.3
  • 8Shahiran6.2
  • 9Furusawa6.1
  • 11Yokoyama Sh.6.6
  • 24Buhari6.8
  • 25Higashikawa6.7
  • 26Yoshimoto6.3
  • 33Sumi6.4
  • 49Kobayashi6.5
  • 71Fandi Ir.6.7
  • 88Kazama K.6.5
Coach: Nazri Nasir

Machida Zelvia

Starting XI
  • 5Dresevic I.7.0
  • 8Sento6.4
  • 13Morita T.6.4
  • 15Duke6.4
  • 18Shimoda6.7
  • 20Nishimura T.7.1
  • 23Shirasaki6.6
  • 24Kim M.T.6.7
  • 34Tokumura6.6
  • 50Okamura6.7
  • 88Nakamura H.6.3
Coach: Go Kuroda

Match story

How the game unfolded
0–15'0–0

Cautious start, both sides feeling each other out. (0–0)

15–45'0–0

No goals but plenty of bite: 1 card(s) in this spell. Score holds at 0–0.

39'🟨Kazama K.
Half-time

Half-time score: Tampines Rovers 0 – 0 Machida Zelvia.

45–75'0–0

The game settles after the break without a breakthrough. (0–0)

75–90'+0–0

A tense finish, but the scoreline stays put. (0–0)

Full time: Tampines Rovers 0 – 0 Machida Zelvia

League table

AFC Champions League 2
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Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.