Tampines Rovers vs Machida Zelvia: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
The model puts Machida Zelvia at 75%. The model leans toward Machida Zelvia. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Machida Zelvia.
Win probabilities
Expected goals
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Match DNA
Key points
- Tampines Rovers have 2 wins in their last 4 matches.
- Machida Zelvia have 4 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Machida Zelvia is priced at 1.243.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 7 | 4 |
| 1 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 2 |
| 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | ||
| 3 | ||||||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Full analysis
The model puts Tampines Rovers at 10%. The model puts the draw at 15%. The model puts Machida Zelvia at 75%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-2.
The market leans toward Machida Zelvia. Tampines Rovers is priced at 9.9. The draw is priced at 5.89. Machida Zelvia is priced at 1.243.
Tampines Rovers have 2 wins in their last 4 matches. Machida Zelvia have 4 wins in their last 5 matches. Machida Zelvia are on 3 wins in a row.
The model gives 40% for both teams to score. The model gives 59% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Tampines Rovers or Machida Zelvia?
Our model rates Machida Zelvia as the most likely outcome at 75% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Tampines Rovers vs Machida Zelvia?
A scoreline around 0-2 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.
Odds movement
Match statistics
Tampines Rovers
- 6Mahler J.
- 8Shahiran
- 9Furusawa
- 11Yokoyama Sh.
- 24Buhari
- 25Higashikawa
- 26Yoshimoto
- 33Sumi
- 49Kobayashi
- 71Fandi Ir.
- 88Kazama K.
Machida Zelvia
- 5Dresevic I.
- 8Sento
- 13Morita T.
- 15Duke
- 18Shimoda
- 20Nishimura T.
- 23Shirasaki
- 24Kim M.T.
- 34Tokumura
- 50Okamura
- 88Nakamura H.
Match story
How the game unfoldedCautious start, both sides feeling each other out. (0–0)
No goals but plenty of bite: 1 card(s) in this spell. Score holds at 0–0.
Half-time score: Tampines Rovers 0 – 0 Machida Zelvia.
The game settles after the break without a breakthrough. (0–0)
A tense finish, but the scoreline stays put. (0–0)
League table
AFC Champions League 2| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:3 | 6 | |
| 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5:4 | 3 | |
| 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | 1 | |
| 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | 1 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.