UEFA Europa League

Dinamo Zagreb vs N.E.C.: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

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Dinamo Zagrebvs

N.E.C.

Our predictionDinamo Zagreb to win

Model score: High · 89/100

Score hint: 1-0

The model puts Dinamo Zagreb at 55%. The model leans toward Dinamo Zagreb. Confidence: high.

Why this prediction

+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.

+Recent form favours Dinamo Zagreb.

Win probabilities

1 · Dinamo Zagreb55%

Draw23%

2 · N.E.C.22%

1 · Dinamo ZagrebDraw2 · N.E.C.

Full team comparison →

Model vs market

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.

BTTSNo2.26+38.7%

1X2Dinamo Zagreb1.79+2.1%

1X2N.E.C.4.16-1.0%

1X2Draw3.88-1.1%

BTTSYes1.58-38.7%

Our model BookmakerPositive edge = model disagreement, not a value bet. Not betting advice.

Team strength rating

Dinamo Zagreb

N.E.C.

Expected goals

0.91Dinamo Zagreb

0.41N.E.C.

Over 2.5 goals15%

Both teams to score20%

Recent form

Dinamo ZagrebWLWWD

N.E.C.DDDLL

Most likely scorelines

0-026.7%

1-024.2%

0-111.0%

2-011.0%

1-110.0%

2-14.5%

Match DNA

Dinamo Zagreb N.E.C.

Key points

Dinamo Zagreb have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
N.E.C. have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
Dinamo Zagreb have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
Dinamo Zagreb is priced at 1.795.

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment

1X2Dinamo Zagreb win1.79Fair (+2.1%)

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A	0	1	2
0	27	11	2
1	24	10	2
2	11	5
3	3	1
4
5

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Full analysis

The model puts Dinamo Zagreb at 55%. The model puts the draw at 23%. The model puts N.E.C. at 22%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.

The market leans toward Dinamo Zagreb. Dinamo Zagreb is priced at 1.795. The draw is priced at 3.88. N.E.C. is priced at 4.16.

Dinamo Zagreb have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.

Dinamo Zagreb have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. N.E.C. have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.

Dinamo Zagreb average 0 goals per game this season. Dinamo Zagreb average 34% possession. N.E.C. average 0 goals per game this season. N.E.C. average 52% possession.

The model gives 20% for both teams to score. The model gives 15% for over 2.5 goals.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Prediction Track Record →Methodology →Model card →

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, Dinamo Zagreb or N.E.C.?

Our model rates Dinamo Zagreb as the most likely outcome at 55% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for Dinamo Zagreb vs N.E.C.?

A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

What's the head-to-head record?

In the last 1 meetings: 1 Dinamo Zagreb wins, 0 draws, 0 N.E.C. wins.

See odds at bookmakers

League table

UEFA Europa League - League stage

#	Team	GP	W	L	T	G	Pts
1	Juventus	2	2	0	0	7:1	6
2	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	2	2	0	0	6:0	6
3	Benfica	2	2	0	0	6:1	6
4	Besiktas	2	2	0	0	7:3	6
5	Bournemouth	2	2	0	0	5:1	6
6	AC Omonia	2	2	0	0	4:0	6
7	Ferencvarosi	2	2	0	0	5:2	6
8	Lyon	2	2	0	0	5:3	6
9	Sunderland	2	2	0	0	3:1	6
10	Olympiacos Piraeus	2	2	0	0	3:1	6
11	AC Sparta Prague	2	1	0	1	5:2	4
12	Royale Union Saint-Gilloise	2	1	0	1	4:1	4
13	Stade Rennais	2	1	0	1	2:1	4
14	Dinamo Zagreb	2	1	0	1	1:0	4
15	Crystal Palace	2	1	1	0	6:3	3
16	Milan	2	1	1	0	4:2	3
17	Jagiellonia Bialystok	2	1	1	0	4:3	3
18	OFI Crete	2	1	1	0	3:2	3
19	S.C.U. Torreense	2	1	1	0	3:3	3
20	AZ Alkmaar	2	1	1	0	2:2	3
21	FC Salzburg	2	1	1	0	1:4	3
22	Real Sociedad	2	0	1	1	2:3	1
23	Lillestrom	2	0	1	1	2:3	1
24	Levski Sofia	2	0	1	1	1:2	1
25	Hapoel Be'er Sheva	2	0	1	1	1:2	1
26	Sturm Graz	2	0	1	1	0:3	1
27	N.E.C.	2	0	1	1	1:6	1
28	Celta	2	0	2	0	1:3	0
29	Anderlecht	2	0	2	0	1:3	0
30	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim	2	0	2	0	2:5	0
31	Viktoria Plzen	2	0	2	0	1:5	0
32	Olympique de Marseille	2	0	2	0	1:5	0
33	Celtic	2	0	2	0	2:7	0
34	Ararat - Armenia	2	0	2	0	2:7	0
35	Celje	2	0	2	0	0:5	0
36	Lech Poznan	2	0	2	0	0:8	0