Braga vs Gent: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Bragavs
GentThe model puts Braga at 51%. The model leans toward Braga. Confidence: high.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Braga have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Gent have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Braga is priced at 1.87.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 6 | 3 | |||
| 1 | 12 | 11 | 5 | 1 | ||
| 2 | 11 | 10 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 3 | 6 | 6 | 3 | |||
| 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Braga at 51%. The model puts the draw at 25%. The model puts Gent at 24%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Braga. Braga is priced at 1.87. The draw is priced at 3.74. Gent is priced at 3.96.
The sides have drawn 2 of their head-to-head meetings.
Braga have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Gent have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 49% for both teams to score. The model gives 49% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Braga or Gent?
Our model rates Braga as the most likely outcome at 51% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Braga vs Gent?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 2 meetings: 0 Braga wins, 2 draws, 0 Gent wins.
League table
UEFA Conference League - League stage| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Brighton & Hove Albion | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 3 |
| 2 |  Copenhagen | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 |
| 3 |  Trabzonspor | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:2 | 3 |
| 4 |  Atalanta | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 3 |
| 5 |  Mjallby | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 3 |
| 6 |  Sint-Truidense | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 3 |
| 7 |  Freiburg | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 3 |
| 8 |  Lugano | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 3 |
| 9 |  AS Monaco | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 10 |  Hajduk Split | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 11 |  Panathinaikos | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 12 |  Brann | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 13 | Gent | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 14 |  Twente | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 15 |  Getafe | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 16 |  Midtjylland | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 17 |  Nordsjaelland | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 18 |  Kairat | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 19 |  Heart of Midlothian | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 20 |  Egnatia | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 21 |  CS Universitatea Craiova | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 22 |  Riga FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 23 |  Jablonec | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:3 | 0 |
| 24 |  Crvena Zvezda | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:3 | 0 |
| 25 |  Ajax | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 26 |  Borac Banja Luka | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 27 |  Lincoln Red Imps | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 28 |  CSKA Sofia | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 29 |  AGF Aarhus | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 30 |  Thun | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 31 |  Kuopion Palloseura | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:4 | 0 |
| 32 |  Pafos | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:3 | 0 |
| 33 |  Inter Club d'Escaldes | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:2 | 0 |
| 34 |  Iberia 1999 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:2 | 0 |
| 35 | Braga | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:3 | 0 |
| 36 |  Zalgiris Kaunas | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:4 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.