Brighton & Hove Albion U21 vs Bournemouth U21: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Brighton & Hove Albion U21vs
Bournemouth U21The model puts Brighton & Hove Albion U21 at 55%. The model leans toward Brighton & Hove Albion U21. Confidence: high.
Win probabilities
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Brighton & Hove Albion U21 have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Bournemouth U21 have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Brighton & Hove Albion U21 have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Brighton & Hove Albion U21 is priced at 1.65.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 6 | 3 | |||
| 1 | 13 | 11 | 5 | 1 | ||
| 2 | 11 | 10 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 3 | 7 | 6 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | |||
| 5 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Full analysis
The model puts Brighton & Hove Albion U21 at 55%. The model puts the draw at 21%. The model puts Bournemouth U21 at 24%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Brighton & Hove Albion U21. Brighton & Hove Albion U21 is priced at 1.65. The draw is priced at 4.2. Bournemouth U21 is priced at 3.795.
Brighton & Hove Albion U21 have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings. Bournemouth U21 have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
Brighton & Hove Albion U21 have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. Bournemouth U21 have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 48% for both teams to score. The model gives 49% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Brighton & Hove Albion U21 or Bournemouth U21?
Our model rates Brighton & Hove Albion U21 as the most likely outcome at 55% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Brighton & Hove Albion U21 vs Bournemouth U21?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 2 meetings: 1 Brighton & Hove Albion U21 wins, 0 draws, 1 Bournemouth U21 wins.
Match statistics
Brighton & Hove Albion U21
- 1Dyke
- 2Alakiu
- 3Ferdinand
- 4Palmer
- 5Mackley
- 6Nti
- 7Silsby
- 8Ibrahim
- 9Joseph
- 10Kasvosve
- 11Oriola
Bournemouth U21
- 1Westcott
- 2Lyall-Rajendra
- 3Sills
- 4Milosavljevic
- 5William
- 6Ali
- 7Chubinidze
- 8Dacosta M.
- 9Nyarko
- 10Stephens
- 11Ndimukum
Match story
How the game unfoldedBournemouth U21 make it count (Stephens (14')). It's 0–1 at this point.
An end-to-end spell with goals at both ends (Kasvosve (16'), Chubinidze (45+1')). Score moves to 1–2.
Half-time score: Brighton & Hove Albion U21 1 – 2 Bournemouth U21.
The game settles after the break without a breakthrough. (1–2)
A tense finish, but the scoreline stays put. (1–2)
League table
England. Premier League 2| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Chelsea U21 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 15:9 | 12 |
| 2 |  Nottingham Forest U21 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 10:9 | 12 |
| 3 |  Tottenham Hotspur U21 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 13:7 | 10 |
| 4 |  Liverpool U21 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9:4 | 10 |
| 5 |  Southampton U21 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7:2 | 10 |
| 6 |  Sunderland U21 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 15:11 | 10 |
| 7 |  Norwich City U21 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10:7 | 10 |
| 8 |  Manchester United U21 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 14:6 | 9 |
| 9 | Bournemouth U21 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8:6 | 9 |
| 10 |  Everton U21 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6:4 | 8 |
| 11 |  Aston Villa U21 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8:8 | 8 |
| 12 |  Fulham U21 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 12:9 | 7 |
| 13 |  Leeds United U21 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11:9 | 7 |
| 14 |  Reading U21 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7:7 | 7 |
| 15 |  Brentford U21 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 10:8 | 6 |
| 16 |  West Ham United U21 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7:9 | 5 |
| 17 |  Stoke City U21 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 8:7 | 4 |
| 18 |  Crystal Palace U21 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:2 | 4 |
| 19 | Brighton & Hove Albion U21 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7:9 | 4 |
| 20 |  Derby County U21 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9:12 | 4 |
| 21 |  Arsenal U21 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6:9 | 4 |
| 22 |  Manchester City U21 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7:6 | 3 |
| 23 |  Burnley U21 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 8:10 | 3 |
| 24 |  Blackburn Rovers U21 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4:7 | 3 |
| 25 |  Ipswich Town U21 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6:10 | 3 |
| 26 |  Birmingham City U21 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5:7 | 2 |
| 27 |  Middlesbrough U21 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 8:12 | 2 |
| 28 |  West Bromwich Albion U21 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 8:11 | 1 |
| 29 |  Leicester City U21 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:7 | 1 |
| 30 |  Newcastle United U21 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1:9 | 0 |
| 31 |  Wolverhampton Wanderers U21 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0:10 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.