Hull City vs Ipswich Town: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Hull Cityvs
Ipswich TownThe model puts Ipswich Town at 37%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: low.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +The head-to-head record favours Ipswich Town (4-3-8).
Win probabilities
Expected goals
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Match DNA
Key points
- Hull City have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Ipswich Town have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Hull City have won 4 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Ipswich Town is priced at 2.635.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 1 | 8 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 1 | |
| 2 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 3 | ||
| 3 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | ||
| 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Full analysis
The model puts Hull City at 36%. The model puts the draw at 26%. The model puts Ipswich Town at 37%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-2.
The market frames this as a close contest. Hull City is priced at 2.595. The draw is priced at 3.46. Ipswich Town is priced at 2.635.
Hull City have won 4 of the head-to-head meetings. Ipswich Town have won 8 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 3 of their head-to-head meetings.
Hull City have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Ipswich Town have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
Hull City average 1 goals per game this season. Hull City average 27% possession. Ipswich Town average 2 goals per game this season. Ipswich Town average 47% possession.
The model gives 58% for both teams to score. The model gives 55% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Hull City or Ipswich Town?
Our model rates Ipswich Town as the most likely outcome at 37% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Hull City vs Ipswich Town?
A scoreline around 1-2 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 15 meetings: 4 Hull City wins, 3 draws, 8 Ipswich Town wins.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.
League table
England. Premier League| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Manchester City | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 19:7 | 21 |
| 2 |  Arsenal | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 11:5 | 18 |
| 3 |  Brighton & Hove Albion | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 23:5 | 16 |
| 4 |  Chelsea | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 17:13 | 13 |
| 5 |  Liverpool | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9:8 | 12 |
| 6 |  Brentford | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 13:8 | 10 |
| 7 |  Leeds United | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9:6 | 10 |
| 8 |  Everton | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8:7 | 10 |
| 9 | Hull City | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8:7 | 9 |
| 10 | Ipswich Town | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 11:15 | 9 |
| 11 |  Newcastle United | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10:14 | 8 |
| 12 |  Aston Villa | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7:11 | 8 |
| 13 |  Manchester United | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 10:10 | 7 |
| 14 |  Crystal Palace | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 9:17 | 7 |
| 15 |  Bournemouth | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 9:13 | 6 |
| 16 |  Tottenham Hotspur | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6:10 | 6 |
| 17 |  Coventry City | 7 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 6:14 | 6 |
| 18 |  Fulham | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7:10 | 5 |
| 19 |  Nottingham Forest | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 5:9 | 5 |
| 20 |  Sunderland | 7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 6:14 | 4 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.