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UEFA Conference League

Iberia 1999 vs Mjallby: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

Iberia 1999 Iberia 1999vsMjallby Mjallby
Our predictionMjallby to win
Model score: Medium · 53/100
Score hint: 0-1

The model puts Mjallby at 50%. The model leans toward Mjallby. Confidence: medium.

Why this prediction

+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.

Win probabilities

1 · Iberia 199924%
Draw26%
2 · Mjallby50%
1 · Iberia 1999Draw2 · Mjallby
Full team comparison →

Model vs market

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.

BTTSNo2.11+11.9%
1X2Mjallby1.94+1.2%
1X2Iberia 19993.90-0.1%
1X2Draw3.54-1.1%
BTTSYes1.65-11.9%
Our model BookmakerPositive edge = model disagreement, not a value bet. Not betting advice.

Expected goals

0.90Iberia 1999
xG
1.37Mjallby
Over 2.5 goals40%
Both teams to score44%
Team strength rating
Iberia 1999
42
Mjallby
63

Most likely scorelines

0-114.2%
1-112.7%
0-010.3%
0-29.8%
1-09.2%
1-28.7%

Recent form

Iberia 1999LWLWW
MjallbyWDLLD

Match DNA

AttackDefenseFormStrengthH2HVenue
Iberia 1999 Mjallby

Key points

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment
1X2Mjallby win1.94Fair (+1.2%)
Double chanceMjallby or draw—Info

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A012345
010141042
1913941
24642
3121
4
5

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Full analysis

The model puts Iberia 1999 at 24%. The model puts the draw at 26%. The model puts Mjallby at 50%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.

The market leans toward Mjallby. Iberia 1999 is priced at 3.9. The draw is priced at 3.54. Mjallby is priced at 1.94.

Iberia 1999 have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. Mjallby have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.

The model gives 44% for both teams to score. The model gives 40% for over 2.5 goals.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Prediction Track Record →Methodology →Model card →

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, Iberia 1999 or Mjallby?

Our model rates Mjallby as the most likely outcome at 50% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for Iberia 1999 vs Mjallby?

A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

The indicators lean toward under 2.5 goals.

See odds at bookmakers

League table

UEFA Conference League - League stage
#TeamGPWLTGPts
1Brighton & Hove Albion11004:03
2Copenhagen11003:03
3Trabzonspor11004:23
4Atalanta11003:13
5Mjallby11002:03
6Sint-Truidense11002:03
7Freiburg11003:23
8Lugano11003:23
9AS Monaco11002:13
10Hajduk Split11002:13
11Panathinaikos11002:13
12Brann11002:13
13Gent11001:03
14Twente11001:03
15Getafe10011:11
16Midtjylland10011:11
17Nordsjaelland10011:11
18Kairat10011:11
19Heart of Midlothian10011:11
20Egnatia10011:11
21CS Universitatea Craiova10011:11
22Riga FC10011:11
23Jablonec10102:30
24Crvena Zvezda10102:30
25Ajax10101:20
26Borac Banja Luka10101:20
27Lincoln Red Imps10101:20
28CSKA Sofia10101:20
29AGF Aarhus10100:10
30Thun10100:10
31Kuopion Palloseura10102:40
32Pafos10101:30
33Inter Club d'Escaldes10100:20
34Iberia 199910100:20
35Braga10100:30
36Zalgiris Kaunas10100:40
Promotion - UEFA Conference League (Play-off: Round of 16) Promotion - UEFA Conference League (Play-off: Round of 32)

Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.