Lincoln Red Imps vs Twente: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
The model puts Twente at 74%. The model leans toward Twente. Confidence: high.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Expected goals
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Match DNA
Key points
- Twente have 4 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Twente is priced at 1.264.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 13 | 21 | 18 | 10 | 4 | 1 |
| 1 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 2 | |
| 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 3 | ||||||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Lincoln Red Imps at 10%. The model puts the draw at 16%. The model puts Twente at 74%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market leans toward Twente. Lincoln Red Imps is priced at 10.5. The draw is priced at 5.9. Twente is priced at 1.264.
Twente have 4 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 26% for both teams to score. The model gives 33% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Lincoln Red Imps or Twente?
Our model rates Twente as the most likely outcome at 74% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Lincoln Red Imps vs Twente?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward under 2.5 goals.
League table
UEFA Conference League - League stage| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 3 | |
| 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | |
| 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:2 | 3 | |
| 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 3 | |
| 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 3 | |
| 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 3 | |
| 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 3 | |
| 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 3 | |
| 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 | |
| 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 | |
| 11 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 | |
| 12 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 | |
| 13 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 | |
| 14 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 | |
| 15 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 1 | |
| 16 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 1 | |
| 17 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 1 | |
| 18 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 1 | |
| 19 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 1 | |
| 20 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 1 | |
| 21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 1 | |
| 22 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 1 | |
| 23 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:3 | 0 | |
| 24 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:3 | 0 | |
| 25 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:2 | 0 | |
| 26 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:2 | 0 | |
| 27 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:2 | 0 | |
| 28 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:2 | 0 | |
| 29 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:1 | 0 | |
| 30 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:1 | 0 | |
| 31 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:4 | 0 | |
| 32 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:3 | 0 | |
| 33 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:2 | 0 | |
| 34 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:2 | 0 | |
| 35 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:3 | 0 | |
| 36 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:4 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.