Hradec Kralove vs Jablonec: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Hradec Kralovevs
JablonecThe model puts Hradec Kralove at 45%. The model leans toward Hradec Kralove. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +The head-to-head record favours Hradec Kralove (7-5-3).
- −Hradec Kralove are dealing with notable absentees.
- +Jablonec are dealing with notable absentees.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Hradec Kralove have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Jablonec have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Hradec Kralove have won 7 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Hradec Kralove will be without Cihak, Kucera, Neto, Van Buuren, Wiesner T., Horak D..
- Jablonec will be without Milla, Suchan, Jawo L..
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 1 | 12 | 12 | 6 | 2 | ||
| 2 | 10 | 10 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 5 | 5 | 3 | |||
| 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Hradec Kralove at 45%. The model puts the draw at 29%. The model puts Jablonec at 26%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market frames this as a close contest. Hradec Kralove is priced at 2.17. The draw is priced at 2.99. Jablonec is priced at 3.51.
Hradec Kralove have won 7 of the head-to-head meetings. Jablonec have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 5 of their head-to-head meetings.
Hradec Kralove have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. Jablonec have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 51% for both teams to score. The model gives 49% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Hradec Kralove or Jablonec?
Our model rates Hradec Kralove as the most likely outcome at 45% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Hradec Kralove vs Jablonec?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 15 meetings: 7 Hradec Kralove wins, 5 draws, 3 Jablonec wins.
Match statistics
Hradec Kralove
- 2Ludvicek
- 3Milke
- 4Petrasek
- 7Uhrincat
- 11Dancak S.
- 12Zadrazil A.
- 16Darida
- 19Sloncik
- 24Umar
- 25Cech Fr.
- 70Cvancara
- Cihak (Missing Player)
- Kucera (Missing Player)
- Neto (Missing Player)
- Van Buuren (Questionable)
- Wiesner T. (Missing Player)
- Horak D. (Questionable)
Jablonec
- 1Hanus J.
- 4Tekijaski N.
- 7Tchanturishvili
- 8Zorvan F.
- 9Rusek A.
- 13Sedlacek R.
- 15Pavlovic
- 18Cedidla
- 20Slama J.
- 25Nebyla S.
- 36Kuol
- Milla (Missing Player)
- Suchan (Missing Player)
- Jawo L. (Missing Player)
League table
Czech Republic. Chance Liga| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Slavia Prague | 11 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 26:6 | 27 |
| 2 |  Slovan Liberec | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 13:7 | 20 |
| 3 |  Mlada Boleslav | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 18:13 | 20 |
| 4 |  Sigma Olomouc | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 18:14 | 20 |
| 5 |  AC Sparta Prague | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 20:12 | 19 |
| 6 |  Zbrojovka | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 14:14 | 19 |
| 7 | Jablonec | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 14:12 | 17 |
| 8 |  Teplice | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 18:17 | 17 |
| 9 |  Viktoria Plzen | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 23:19 | 16 |
| 10 |  Bohemians 1905 Prague | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 11:11 | 15 |
| 11 | Hradec Kralove | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 10:13 | 15 |
| 12 |  Pardubice | 11 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 12:16 | 11 |
| 13 |  Banik Ostrava | 11 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 7:18 | 11 |
| 14 |  Artis Brno | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 11:20 | 8 |
| 15 |  1. Slovacko | 11 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 10:18 | 7 |
| 16 |  Zlin | 11 | 0 | 10 | 1 | 8:23 | 1 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.