Deportivo de A Coruna vs Osasuna: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Deportivo de A Corunavs
OsasunaThe model puts Deportivo de A Coruna at 42%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: low.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −The head-to-head history is finely balanced.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Expected goals
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Match DNA
Key points
- Deportivo de A Coruna have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Osasuna have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Deportivo de A Coruna have won 5 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Deportivo de A Coruna is priced at 2.26.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 1 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 1 | ||
| 2 | 9 | 7 | 3 | |||
| 3 | 3 | 2 | ||||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Deportivo de A Coruna at 42%. The model puts the draw at 30%. The model puts Osasuna at 28%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Deportivo de A Coruna. Deportivo de A Coruna is priced at 2.26. The draw is priced at 3.28. Osasuna is priced at 3.26.
Deportivo de A Coruna have won 5 of the head-to-head meetings. Osasuna have won 5 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 5 of their head-to-head meetings.
Deportivo de A Coruna have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. Osasuna have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
Deportivo de A Coruna average 1 goals per game this season. Deportivo de A Coruna average 39% possession.
The model gives 34% for both teams to score. The model gives 27% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Deportivo de A Coruna or Osasuna?
Our model rates Deportivo de A Coruna as the most likely outcome at 42% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Deportivo de A Coruna vs Osasuna?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 15 meetings: 5 Deportivo de A Coruna wins, 5 draws, 5 Osasuna wins.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward under 2.5 goals.
League table
Spain. La Liga| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 39:9 | 27 |
| 2 |  Atletico Madrid | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 19:8 | 22 |
| 3 |  Real Madrid | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 23:9 | 21 |
| 4 |  Real Betis | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 16:14 | 19 |
| 5 |  Real Sociedad | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 17:17 | 16 |
| 6 |  Sevilla | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 14:16 | 14 |
| 7 |  Deportivo Alaves | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 14:11 | 12 |
| 8 |  Celta | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 10:7 | 11 |
| 9 | Deportivo de A Coruna | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 13:12 | 11 |
| 10 | Osasuna | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 10:18 | 11 |
| 11 |  Levante UD | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 15:17 | 10 |
| 12 |  Villarreal | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 13:13 | 9 |
| 13 |  Athletic Bilbao | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8:9 | 9 |
| 14 |  Rayo Vallecano | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 12:17 | 9 |
| 15 |  Getafe | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 5:11 | 9 |
| 16 |  Espanyol | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 11:12 | 8 |
| 17 |  Racing de Santander | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 13:25 | 8 |
| 18 |  Elche | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 11:17 | 7 |
| 19 |  Valencia | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 6:15 | 6 |
| 20 |  Malaga | 10 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 7:19 | 5 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.