UEFA Conference League

Atalanta vs Kairat: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

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Atalantavs

Kairat

Our predictionAtalanta to win

Model score: High · 92/100

Score hint: 2-0

The model puts Atalanta at 85%. The model leans toward Atalanta. Confidence: high.

Win probabilities

1 · Atalanta85%

Draw11%

2 · Kairat4%

1 · AtalantaDraw2 · Kairat

Full team comparison →

Model vs market

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.

BTTSNo1.53+15.6%

1X2Atalanta1.12+0.1%

1X2Kairat21.00-0.0%

1X2Draw8.80-0.1%

O/U 2.5Over 2.51.47-5.3%

Our model BookmakerPositive edge = model disagreement, not a value bet. Not betting advice.

Team strength rating

Atalanta

Kairat

Expected goals

2.94Atalanta

0.29Kairat

Over 2.5 goals63%

Both teams to score24%

Recent form

AtalantaDLLWW

KairatDLWDW

Most likely scorelines

2-017.1%

3-016.8%

4-012.3%

1-011.6%

5-07.2%

2-15.0%

Match DNA

Atalanta Kairat

Key points

Atalanta have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
Kairat have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
Atalanta is priced at 1.12.

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment

1X2Atalanta win1.12Fair

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A	0	1
0	4	1
1	12	3
2	17	5
3	17	5
4	12	4
5	7	2

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Full analysis

The model puts Atalanta at 85%. The model puts the draw at 11%. The model puts Kairat at 4%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-0.

The market leans toward Atalanta. Atalanta is priced at 1.12. The draw is priced at 8.8. Kairat is priced at 21.

Atalanta have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Kairat have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.

The model gives 24% for both teams to score. The model gives 63% for over 2.5 goals.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Prediction Track Record →Methodology →Model card →

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, Atalanta or Kairat?

Our model rates Atalanta as the most likely outcome at 85% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for Atalanta vs Kairat?

A scoreline around 2-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.

See odds at bookmakers

League table

UEFA Conference League - League stage

#	Team	GP	W	L	T	G	Pts
1	Panathinaikos	2	2	0	0	7:2	6
2	Lugano	2	2	0	0	8:4	6
3	Brann	2	2	0	0	6:2	6
4	Trabzonspor	2	2	0	0	6:2	6
5	Twente	2	2	0	0	5:1	6
6	AS Monaco	2	2	0	0	5:1	6
7	Sint-Truidense	2	2	0	0	3:0	6
8	Hajduk Split	2	2	0	0	3:1	6
9	Brighton & Hove Albion	2	1	0	1	4:0	4
10	Copenhagen	2	1	0	1	5:2	4
11	CS Universitatea Craiova	2	1	0	1	4:2	4
12	Mjallby	2	1	0	1	3:1	4
13	Ajax	2	1	1	0	3:2	3
14	Borac Banja Luka	2	1	1	0	3:2	3
15	Atalanta	2	1	1	0	3:3	3
16	Braga	2	1	1	0	2:3	3
17	Gent	2	1	1	0	1:2	3
18	Freiburg	2	1	1	0	3:5	3
19	Nordsjaelland	2	0	0	2	3:3	2
20	Egnatia	2	0	0	2	2:2	2
21	Riga FC	2	0	0	2	2:2	2
22	Crvena Zvezda	2	0	1	1	4:5	1
23	CSKA Sofia	2	0	1	1	3:4	1
24	Jablonec	2	0	1	1	2:3	1
25	Midtjylland	2	0	1	1	1:2	1
26	AGF Aarhus	2	0	1	1	1:2	1
27	Pafos	2	0	1	1	2:4	1
28	Heart of Midlothian	2	0	1	1	1:3	1
29	Iberia 1999	2	0	1	1	1:3	1
30	Getafe	2	0	1	1	3:6	1
31	Kairat	2	0	1	1	2:6	1
32	Thun	2	0	2	0	0:2	0
33	Lincoln Red Imps	2	0	2	0	2:6	0
34	Vaasan Palloseura	2	0	2	0	2:6	0
35	Inter Club d'Escaldes	2	0	2	0	1:5	0
36	Zalgiris Kaunas	2	0	2	0	1:8	0