Getafe vs Brighton & Hove Albion: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Getafevs
Brighton & Hove AlbionThe model puts Brighton & Hove Albion at 52%. The model leans toward Brighton & Hove Albion. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Brighton & Hove Albion.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Getafe have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Brighton & Hove Albion have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Getafe have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Brighton & Hove Albion is priced at 1.86.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 2 | |
| 1 | 7 | 12 | 9 | 5 | 2 | |
| 2 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Getafe at 23%. The model puts the draw at 25%. The model puts Brighton & Hove Albion at 52%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market leans toward Brighton & Hove Albion. Getafe is priced at 4.08. The draw is priced at 3.68. Brighton & Hove Albion is priced at 1.86.
Getafe have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings. Brighton & Hove Albion have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
Getafe have 0 wins in their last 5 matches. Brighton & Hove Albion have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 49% for both teams to score. The model gives 47% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Getafe or Brighton & Hove Albion?
Our model rates Brighton & Hove Albion as the most likely outcome at 52% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Getafe vs Brighton & Hove Albion?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 2 meetings: 1 Getafe wins, 0 draws, 1 Brighton & Hove Albion wins.
League table
UEFA Conference League - League stage| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Panathinaikos | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7:2 | 6 |
| 2 |  Lugano | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8:4 | 6 |
| 3 |  Brann | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:2 | 6 |
| 4 |  Trabzonspor | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:2 | 6 |
| 5 |  Twente | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:1 | 6 |
| 6 |  AS Monaco | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:1 | 6 |
| 7 |  Sint-Truidense | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 6 |
| 8 |  Hajduk Split | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 6 |
| 9 | Brighton & Hove Albion | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:0 | 4 |
| 10 |  Copenhagen | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5:2 | 4 |
| 11 |  CS Universitatea Craiova | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 4 |
| 12 |  Mjallby | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:1 | 4 |
| 13 |  Ajax | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 3 |
| 14 |  Borac Banja Luka | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 3 |
| 15 |  Atalanta | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:3 | 3 |
| 16 |  Braga | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:3 | 3 |
| 17 |  Gent | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1:2 | 3 |
| 18 |  Freiburg | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:5 | 3 |
| 19 |  Nordsjaelland | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3:3 | 2 |
| 20 |  Egnatia | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:2 | 2 |
| 21 |  Riga FC | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:2 | 2 |
| 22 |  Crvena Zvezda | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4:5 | 1 |
| 23 |  CSKA Sofia | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | 1 |
| 24 |  Jablonec | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | 1 |
| 25 |  Midtjylland | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | 1 |
| 26 |  AGF Aarhus | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | 1 |
| 27 |  Pafos | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:4 | 1 |
| 28 |  Heart of Midlothian | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | 1 |
| 29 |  Iberia 1999 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | 1 |
| 30 | Getafe | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3:6 | 1 |
| 31 |  Kairat | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:6 | 1 |
| 32 |  Thun | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0:2 | 0 |
| 33 |  Lincoln Red Imps | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2:6 | 0 |
| 34 |  Vaasan Palloseura | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2:6 | 0 |
| 35 |  Inter Club d'Escaldes | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1:5 | 0 |
| 36 |  Zalgiris Kaunas | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1:8 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.