UEFA Conference League

Mjallby vs Borac Banja Luka: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

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Mjallbyvs

Borac Banja Luka

Our predictionMjallby to win

Model score: Low · 11/100

Score hint: 1-0

The model puts Mjallby at 39%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: low.

Why this prediction

+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.

−Recent form favours Borac Banja Luka.

Win probabilities

1 · Mjallby39%

Draw26%

2 · Borac Banja Luka34%

1 · MjallbyDraw2 · Borac Banja Luka

Full team comparison →

Model vs market

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.

BTTSNo2.05+4.9%

1X2Borac Banja Luka2.98+2.6%

1X2Mjallby2.35-1.2%

1X2Draw3.42-1.4%

BTTSYes1.69-4.9%

Our model BookmakerPositive edge = model disagreement, not a value bet. Not betting advice.

Expected goals

1.36Mjallby

1.11Borac Banja Luka

Over 2.5 goals45%

Both teams to score50%

Most likely scorelines

1-112.8%

1-011.5%

0-19.4%

2-18.7%

0-08.5%

2-07.8%

Team strength rating

Mjallby

Borac Banja Luka

Recent form

MjallbyLDLWD

Borac Banja LukaWWDLW

Match DNA

Mjallby Borac Banja Luka

Key points

Mjallby have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
Borac Banja Luka have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
Mjallby is priced at 2.35.

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment

1X2Mjallby win2.35Fair (-1.2%)

Double chanceMjallby or draw—Info

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A	0	1	2	3
0	8	9	5	2
1	11	13	7	3
2	8	9	5	2
3	4	4	2
4	1	1
5

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Full analysis

The model puts Mjallby at 39%. The model puts the draw at 26%. The model puts Borac Banja Luka at 34%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.

The market frames this as a close contest. Mjallby is priced at 2.35. The draw is priced at 3.42. Borac Banja Luka is priced at 2.984.

Mjallby have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. Borac Banja Luka have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. Borac Banja Luka are on 2 wins in a row.

The model gives 50% for both teams to score. The model gives 45% for over 2.5 goals.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Prediction Track Record →Methodology →Model card →

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, Mjallby or Borac Banja Luka?

Our model rates Mjallby as the most likely outcome at 39% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for Mjallby vs Borac Banja Luka?

A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

The indicators lean toward a balanced game.

See odds at bookmakers

League table

UEFA Conference League - League stage

#	Team	GP	W	L	T	G	Pts
1	Panathinaikos	2	2	0	0	7:2	6
2	Lugano	2	2	0	0	8:4	6
3	Brann	2	2	0	0	6:2	6
4	Trabzonspor	2	2	0	0	6:2	6
5	Twente	2	2	0	0	5:1	6
6	AS Monaco	2	2	0	0	5:1	6
7	Sint-Truidense	2	2	0	0	3:0	6
8	Hajduk Split	2	2	0	0	3:1	6
9	Brighton & Hove Albion	2	1	0	1	4:0	4
10	Copenhagen	2	1	0	1	5:2	4
11	CS Universitatea Craiova	2	1	0	1	4:2	4
12	Mjallby	2	1	0	1	3:1	4
13	Ajax	2	1	1	0	3:2	3
14	Borac Banja Luka	2	1	1	0	3:2	3
15	Atalanta	2	1	1	0	3:3	3
16	Braga	2	1	1	0	2:3	3
17	Gent	2	1	1	0	1:2	3
18	Freiburg	2	1	1	0	3:5	3
19	Nordsjaelland	2	0	0	2	3:3	2
20	Egnatia	2	0	0	2	2:2	2
21	Riga FC	2	0	0	2	2:2	2
22	Crvena Zvezda	2	0	1	1	4:5	1
23	CSKA Sofia	2	0	1	1	3:4	1
24	Jablonec	2	0	1	1	2:3	1
25	Midtjylland	2	0	1	1	1:2	1
26	AGF Aarhus	2	0	1	1	1:2	1
27	Pafos	2	0	1	1	2:4	1
28	Heart of Midlothian	2	0	1	1	1:3	1
29	Iberia 1999	2	0	1	1	1:3	1
30	Getafe	2	0	1	1	3:6	1
31	Kairat	2	0	1	1	2:6	1
32	Thun	2	0	2	0	0:2	0
33	Lincoln Red Imps	2	0	2	0	2:6	0
34	Vaasan Palloseura	2	0	2	0	2:6	0
35	Inter Club d'Escaldes	2	0	2	0	1:5	0
36	Zalgiris Kaunas	2	0	2	0	1:8	0