UEFA Conference League

Lincoln Red Imps vs Hajduk Split: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

← Match page: score & lineups

Lincoln Red Impsvs

Hajduk Split

Our predictionHajduk Split to win

Model score: High · 91/100

Score hint: 0-2

The model puts Hajduk Split at 72%. The model leans toward Hajduk Split. Confidence: high.

Why this prediction

+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.

+Recent form favours Hajduk Split.

Win probabilities

1 · Lincoln Red Imps10%

Draw18%

2 · Hajduk Split72%

1 · Lincoln Red ImpsDraw2 · Hajduk Split

Full team comparison →

Model vs market

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.

BTTSNo1.60+4.3%

1X2Lincoln Red Imps10.00+0.5%

1X2Hajduk Split1.31+0.2%

1X2Draw5.15-0.7%

BTTSYes2.20-4.3%

Our model BookmakerPositive edge = model disagreement, not a value bet. Not betting advice.

Team strength rating

Lincoln Red Imps

Hajduk Split

Recent form

Lincoln Red ImpsWLLW

Hajduk SplitDWWWW

Most likely scorelines

0-215.4%

0-114.2%

0-311.2%

1-28.6%

1-17.9%

0-06.5%

Expected goals

0.56Lincoln Red Imps

2.18Hajduk Split

Over 2.5 goals51%

Both teams to score38%

Match DNA

Lincoln Red Imps Hajduk Split

Key points

Lincoln Red Imps have 2 wins in their last 4 matches.
Hajduk Split have 4 wins in their last 5 matches.
Hajduk Split is priced at 1.31.

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment

1X2Hajduk Split win1.31Fair

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	7	14	15	11	6	3
1	4	8	9	6	3	1
2	1	2	2	2
3
4
5

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Full analysis

The model puts Lincoln Red Imps at 10%. The model puts the draw at 18%. The model puts Hajduk Split at 72%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-2.

The market leans toward Hajduk Split. Lincoln Red Imps is priced at 10. The draw is priced at 5.15. Hajduk Split is priced at 1.31.

Lincoln Red Imps have 2 wins in their last 4 matches. Hajduk Split have 4 wins in their last 5 matches.

The model gives 38% for both teams to score. The model gives 51% for over 2.5 goals.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Prediction Track Record →Methodology →Model card →

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, Lincoln Red Imps or Hajduk Split?

Our model rates Hajduk Split as the most likely outcome at 72% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for Lincoln Red Imps vs Hajduk Split?

A scoreline around 0-2 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.

See odds at bookmakers

League table

UEFA Conference League - League stage

#	Team	GP	W	L	T	G	Pts
1	Panathinaikos	2	2	0	0	7:2	6
2	Lugano	2	2	0	0	8:4	6
3	Brann	2	2	0	0	6:2	6
4	Trabzonspor	2	2	0	0	6:2	6
5	Twente	2	2	0	0	5:1	6
6	AS Monaco	2	2	0	0	5:1	6
7	Sint-Truidense	2	2	0	0	3:0	6
8	Hajduk Split	2	2	0	0	3:1	6
9	Brighton & Hove Albion	2	1	0	1	4:0	4
10	Copenhagen	2	1	0	1	5:2	4
11	CS Universitatea Craiova	2	1	0	1	4:2	4
12	Mjallby	2	1	0	1	3:1	4
13	Ajax	2	1	1	0	3:2	3
14	Borac Banja Luka	2	1	1	0	3:2	3
15	Atalanta	2	1	1	0	3:3	3
16	Braga	2	1	1	0	2:3	3
17	Gent	2	1	1	0	1:2	3
18	Freiburg	2	1	1	0	3:5	3
19	Nordsjaelland	2	0	0	2	3:3	2
20	Egnatia	2	0	0	2	2:2	2
21	Riga FC	2	0	0	2	2:2	2
22	Crvena Zvezda	2	0	1	1	4:5	1
23	CSKA Sofia	2	0	1	1	3:4	1
24	Jablonec	2	0	1	1	2:3	1
25	Midtjylland	2	0	1	1	1:2	1
26	AGF Aarhus	2	0	1	1	1:2	1
27	Pafos	2	0	1	1	2:4	1
28	Heart of Midlothian	2	0	1	1	1:3	1
29	Iberia 1999	2	0	1	1	1:3	1
30	Getafe	2	0	1	1	3:6	1
31	Kairat	2	0	1	1	2:6	1
32	Thun	2	0	2	0	0:2	0
33	Lincoln Red Imps	2	0	2	0	2:6	0
34	Vaasan Palloseura	2	0	2	0	2:6	0
35	Inter Club d'Escaldes	2	0	2	0	1:5	0
36	Zalgiris Kaunas	2	0	2	0	1:8	0