UEFA Conference League

Trabzonspor vs Freiburg: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

← Match page: score & lineups

Trabzonsporvs

Freiburg

Our predictionTrabzonspor to win

Model score: Low · 30/100

Score hint: 2-1

The model puts Trabzonspor at 38%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: low.

Why this prediction

+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.

+Recent form favours Trabzonspor.

Win probabilities

1 · Trabzonspor38%

Draw26%

2 · Freiburg36%

1 · TrabzonsporDraw2 · Freiburg

Full team comparison →

Model vs market

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.

BTTSYes1.67+14.8%

1X2Trabzonspor2.77+3.4%

1X2Draw3.42-1.4%

1X2Freiburg2.50-1.9%

BTTSNo2.08-14.8%

Our model BookmakerPositive edge = model disagreement, not a value bet. Not betting advice.

Expected goals

1.95Trabzonspor

1.71Freiburg

Over 2.5 goals71%

Both teams to score70%

Team strength rating

Trabzonspor

Freiburg

Most likely scorelines

1-18.6%

2-18.4%

1-27.3%

2-27.1%

3-15.4%

1-05.0%

Recent form

TrabzonsporWWWWW

FreiburgLLLWW

Match DNA

Trabzonspor Freiburg

Key points

Trabzonspor have 5 wins in their last 5 matches.
Freiburg have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
Trabzonspor is priced at 2.77.

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment

1X2Trabzonspor win2.77Fair (+3.4%)

Double chanceTrabzonspor or draw—Info

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	3	4	4	2
1	5	9	7	4	2
2	5	8	7	4	2
3	3	5	5	3	1
4	2	3	2	1
5		1

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Full analysis

The model puts Trabzonspor at 38%. The model puts the draw at 26%. The model puts Freiburg at 36%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-1.

The market frames this as a close contest. Trabzonspor is priced at 2.77. The draw is priced at 3.42. Freiburg is priced at 2.504.

Trabzonspor have 5 wins in their last 5 matches. Trabzonspor are on 5 wins in a row. Freiburg have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.

The model gives 70% for both teams to score. The model gives 71% for over 2.5 goals.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Prediction Track Record →Methodology →Model card →

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, Trabzonspor or Freiburg?

Our model rates Trabzonspor as the most likely outcome at 38% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for Trabzonspor vs Freiburg?

A scoreline around 2-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.

See odds at bookmakers

League table

UEFA Conference League - League stage

#	Team	GP	W	L	T	G	Pts
1	Panathinaikos	2	2	0	0	7:2	6
2	Lugano	2	2	0	0	8:4	6
3	Brann	2	2	0	0	6:2	6
4	Trabzonspor	2	2	0	0	6:2	6
5	Twente	2	2	0	0	5:1	6
6	AS Monaco	2	2	0	0	5:1	6
7	Sint-Truidense	2	2	0	0	3:0	6
8	Hajduk Split	2	2	0	0	3:1	6
9	Brighton & Hove Albion	2	1	0	1	4:0	4
10	Copenhagen	2	1	0	1	5:2	4
11	CS Universitatea Craiova	2	1	0	1	4:2	4
12	Mjallby	2	1	0	1	3:1	4
13	Ajax	2	1	1	0	3:2	3
14	Borac Banja Luka	2	1	1	0	3:2	3
15	Atalanta	2	1	1	0	3:3	3
16	Braga	2	1	1	0	2:3	3
17	Gent	2	1	1	0	1:2	3
18	Freiburg	2	1	1	0	3:5	3
19	Nordsjaelland	2	0	0	2	3:3	2
20	Egnatia	2	0	0	2	2:2	2
21	Riga FC	2	0	0	2	2:2	2
22	Crvena Zvezda	2	0	1	1	4:5	1
23	CSKA Sofia	2	0	1	1	3:4	1
24	Jablonec	2	0	1	1	2:3	1
25	Midtjylland	2	0	1	1	1:2	1
26	AGF Aarhus	2	0	1	1	1:2	1
27	Pafos	2	0	1	1	2:4	1
28	Heart of Midlothian	2	0	1	1	1:3	1
29	Iberia 1999	2	0	1	1	1:3	1
30	Getafe	2	0	1	1	3:6	1
31	Kairat	2	0	1	1	2:6	1
32	Thun	2	0	2	0	0:2	0
33	Lincoln Red Imps	2	0	2	0	2:6	0
34	Vaasan Palloseura	2	0	2	0	2:6	0
35	Inter Club d'Escaldes	2	0	2	0	1:5	0
36	Zalgiris Kaunas	2	0	2	0	1:8	0