UEFA Conference League

Panathinaikos vs CSKA Sofia: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

← Match page: score & lineups

Panathinaikosvs

CSKA Sofia

Our predictionPanathinaikos to win

Model score: High · 92/100

Score hint: 2-0

The model puts Panathinaikos at 66%. The model leans toward Panathinaikos. Confidence: high.

Win probabilities

1 · Panathinaikos66%

Draw20%

2 · CSKA Sofia14%

1 · PanathinaikosDraw2 · CSKA Sofia

Full team comparison →

Model vs market

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.

BTTSNo1.82+10.5%

1X2Panathinaikos1.44+0.3%

1X2CSKA Sofia6.95-0.1%

1X2Draw4.64-0.2%

BTTSYes1.88-10.5%

Our model BookmakerPositive edge = model disagreement, not a value bet. Not betting advice.

Team strength rating

Panathinaikos

CSKA Sofia

Recent form

PanathinaikosWWWWL

CSKA SofiaWDWLW

Most likely scorelines

2-015.1%

1-014.5%

3-010.5%

2-18.8%

1-18.4%

0-06.9%

Expected goals

2.08Panathinaikos

0.58CSKA Sofia

Over 2.5 goals50%

Both teams to score39%

Match DNA

Panathinaikos CSKA Sofia

Key points

Panathinaikos have 4 wins in their last 5 matches.
CSKA Sofia have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
Panathinaikos have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
Panathinaikos is priced at 1.44.

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment

1X2Panathinaikos win1.44Fair

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A	0	1	2
0	7	4	1
1	14	8	2
2	15	9	3
3	10	6	2
4	5	3
5	2	1

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Full analysis

The model puts Panathinaikos at 66%. The model puts the draw at 20%. The model puts CSKA Sofia at 14%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-0.

The market leans toward Panathinaikos. Panathinaikos is priced at 1.44. The draw is priced at 4.64. CSKA Sofia is priced at 6.95.

Panathinaikos have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.

Panathinaikos have 4 wins in their last 5 matches. Panathinaikos are on 4 wins in a row. CSKA Sofia have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.

The model gives 39% for both teams to score. The model gives 50% for over 2.5 goals.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Prediction Track Record →Methodology →Model card →

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, Panathinaikos or CSKA Sofia?

Our model rates Panathinaikos as the most likely outcome at 66% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for Panathinaikos vs CSKA Sofia?

A scoreline around 2-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

What's the head-to-head record?

In the last 1 meetings: 1 Panathinaikos wins, 0 draws, 0 CSKA Sofia wins.

See odds at bookmakers

League table

UEFA Conference League - League stage

#	Team	GP	W	L	T	G	Pts
1	Panathinaikos	2	2	0	0	7:2	6
2	Lugano	2	2	0	0	8:4	6
3	Brann	2	2	0	0	6:2	6
4	Trabzonspor	2	2	0	0	6:2	6
5	Twente	2	2	0	0	5:1	6
6	AS Monaco	2	2	0	0	5:1	6
7	Sint-Truidense	2	2	0	0	3:0	6
8	Hajduk Split	2	2	0	0	3:1	6
9	Brighton & Hove Albion	2	1	0	1	4:0	4
10	Copenhagen	2	1	0	1	5:2	4
11	CS Universitatea Craiova	2	1	0	1	4:2	4
12	Mjallby	2	1	0	1	3:1	4
13	Ajax	2	1	1	0	3:2	3
14	Borac Banja Luka	2	1	1	0	3:2	3
15	Atalanta	2	1	1	0	3:3	3
16	Braga	2	1	1	0	2:3	3
17	Gent	2	1	1	0	1:2	3
18	Freiburg	2	1	1	0	3:5	3
19	Nordsjaelland	2	0	0	2	3:3	2
20	Egnatia	2	0	0	2	2:2	2
21	Riga FC	2	0	0	2	2:2	2
22	Crvena Zvezda	2	0	1	1	4:5	1
23	CSKA Sofia	2	0	1	1	3:4	1
24	Jablonec	2	0	1	1	2:3	1
25	Midtjylland	2	0	1	1	1:2	1
26	AGF Aarhus	2	0	1	1	1:2	1
27	Pafos	2	0	1	1	2:4	1
28	Heart of Midlothian	2	0	1	1	1:3	1
29	Iberia 1999	2	0	1	1	1:3	1
30	Getafe	2	0	1	1	3:6	1
31	Kairat	2	0	1	1	2:6	1
32	Thun	2	0	2	0	0:2	0
33	Lincoln Red Imps	2	0	2	0	2:6	0
34	Vaasan Palloseura	2	0	2	0	2:6	0
35	Inter Club d'Escaldes	2	0	2	0	1:5	0
36	Zalgiris Kaunas	2	0	2	0	1:8	0