Energie Cottbus vs VfL Bochum: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Energie Cottbusvs
VfL BochumThe model puts VfL Bochum at 42%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: low.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −The head-to-head record favours Energie Cottbus (6-5-2).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Expected goals
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Match DNA
Key points
- Energie Cottbus have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- VfL Bochum have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Energie Cottbus have won 6 of the head-to-head meetings.
- VfL Bochum is priced at 2.12.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | |
| 1 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 1 |
| 2 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 1 |
| 3 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 2 | |
| 4 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | |
| 5 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Energie Cottbus at 34%. The model puts the draw at 24%. The model puts VfL Bochum at 42%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-2.
The market leans toward VfL Bochum. Energie Cottbus is priced at 2.986. The draw is priced at 3.8. VfL Bochum is priced at 2.12.
Energie Cottbus have won 6 of the head-to-head meetings. VfL Bochum have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 5 of their head-to-head meetings.
Energie Cottbus have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. VfL Bochum have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
Energie Cottbus average 3 goals per game this season. Energie Cottbus average 50% possession. VfL Bochum average 2 goals per game this season. VfL Bochum average 48% possession.
The model gives 79% for both teams to score. The model gives 81% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Energie Cottbus or VfL Bochum?
Our model rates VfL Bochum as the most likely outcome at 42% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Energie Cottbus vs VfL Bochum?
A scoreline around 1-2 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 13 meetings: 6 Energie Cottbus wins, 5 draws, 2 VfL Bochum wins.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.
League table
Germany. 2. Bundesliga| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Hertha BSC | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 20:8 | 25 |
| 2 |  Nurnberg | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 21:12 | 18 |
| 3 |  1. Kaiserslautern | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 9:4 | 18 |
| 4 |  VfL Wolfsburg | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 23:14 | 16 |
| 5 |  1. Magdeburg | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 20:12 | 16 |
| 6 |  1. Heidenheim | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 16:16 | 15 |
| 7 |  St. Pauli | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 11:9 | 12 |
| 8 |  Arminia Bielefeld | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 13:14 | 11 |
| 9 | Energie Cottbus | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 17:18 | 10 |
| 10 |  Greuther Furth | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 12:13 | 9 |
| 11 |  Dynamo Dresden | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 11:15 | 8 |
| 12 |  VfL Osnabruck | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 11:15 | 8 |
| 13 | VfL Bochum | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 6:10 | 8 |
| 14 |  Hannover 96 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 8:13 | 8 |
| 15 |  Karlsruher | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 11:20 | 8 |
| 16 |  Darmstadt 98 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 8:18 | 8 |
| 17 |  Eintracht Braunschweig | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 13:15 | 7 |
| 18 |  Holstein | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 7:11 | 5 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.