Middlesbrough U21 vs Tottenham Hotspur U21: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
The model puts Middlesbrough U21 at 41%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +The head-to-head record favours Middlesbrough U21 (4-0-2).
Win probabilities
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Middlesbrough U21 have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Tottenham Hotspur U21 have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Middlesbrough U21 have won 4 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Middlesbrough U21 is priced at 2.29.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 1 | 10 | 12 | 7 | 3 | ||
| 2 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 3 | 4 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 1 | 1 | ||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Full analysis
The model puts Middlesbrough U21 at 41%. The model puts the draw at 22%. The model puts Tottenham Hotspur U21 at 37%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market frames this as a close contest. Middlesbrough U21 is priced at 2.29. The draw is priced at 3.95. Tottenham Hotspur U21 is priced at 2.31.
Middlesbrough U21 have won 4 of the head-to-head meetings. Tottenham Hotspur U21 have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings.
Middlesbrough U21 have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. Tottenham Hotspur U21 have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 53% for both teams to score. The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Middlesbrough U21 or Tottenham Hotspur U21?
Our model rates Middlesbrough U21 as the most likely outcome at 41% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Middlesbrough U21 vs Tottenham Hotspur U21?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 6 meetings: 4 Middlesbrough U21 wins, 0 draws, 2 Tottenham Hotspur U21 wins.
Match statistics
Middlesbrough U21
- 1Connor
- 2Tika-Lemba
- 3Okonola
- 4Dede
- 5Wilson
- 6Greenup
- 7Hamilton
- 8Berry
- 9Ибе
- 10Campbell
- 11Cole
Tottenham Hotspur U21
- 1Archer
- 2Rowswell
- 3King
- 4Byfield
- 5Hardy
- 6Byrne
- 7Kyerematen
- 8Hall
- 9Hull
- 10McFadden
- 11Elliott-Parris
Match story
How the game unfoldedCautious start, both sides feeling each other out. (0–0)
Middlesbrough U21 make it count (Wilson (16')). It's 1–0 at this point.
Half-time score: Middlesbrough U21 1 – 0 Tottenham Hotspur U21.
The game settles after the break without a breakthrough. (1–0)
No goals but plenty of bite: 2 card(s) in this spell. Score holds at 1–0.
League table
England. Premier League 2| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 15:7 | 13 | |
| 2 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 17:11 | 13 | |
| 3 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 11:11 | 12 | |
| 4 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11:6 | 11 | |
| 5 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7:2 | 10 | |
| 6 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 15:11 | 10 | |
| 7 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10:7 | 10 | |
| 8 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 16:14 | 10 | |
| 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 11:9 | 10 | |
| 10 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9:8 | 10 | |
| 11 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 14:6 | 9 | |
| 12 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6:4 | 8 | |
| 13 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 14:14 | 8 | |
| 14 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10:10 | 8 | |
| 15 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8:8 | 8 | |
| 16 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7:3 | 7 | |
| 17 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 13:12 | 7 | |
| 18 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 12:13 | 7 | |
| 19 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 11:9 | 6 | |
| 20 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 11:10 | 6 | |
| 21 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 11:10 | 6 | |
| 22 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 11:11 | 4 | |
| 23 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5:10 | 4 | |
| 24 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 7:13 | 4 | |
| 25 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4:7 | 3 | |
| 26 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 9:13 | 3 | |
| 27 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2:11 | 3 | |
| 28 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 8:12 | 2 | |
| 29 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5:16 | 2 | |
| 30 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 9:13 | 1 | |
| 31 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1:9 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.