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England. Premier League 2

Middlesbrough U21 vs Tottenham Hotspur U21: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

Middlesbrough U21 Middlesbrough U21vsTottenham Hotspur U21 Tottenham Hotspur U21
Our predictionMiddlesbrough U21 to win
Model score: Medium · 36/100
Score hint: 1-0

The model puts Middlesbrough U21 at 41%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: medium.

Why this prediction

+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.

Win probabilities

1 · Middlesbrough U2141%
Draw22%
2 · Tottenham Hotspur U2137%
1 · Middlesbrough U21Draw2 · Tottenham Hotspur U21
Full team comparison →

Recent form

Middlesbrough U21LLLLW
Tottenham Hotspur U21LLLDD
Team strength rating
Middlesbrough U21
47
Tottenham Hotspur U21
40

Most likely scorelines

1-112.5%
1-010.4%
0-18.8%
2-18.8%
1-27.4%
0-07.4%

Expected goals

1.41Middlesbrough U21
xG
1.19Tottenham Hotspur U21
Over 2.5 goals48%
Both teams to score53%

Match DNA

AttackDefenseFormStrengthH2HVenue
Middlesbrough U21 Tottenham Hotspur U21

Key points

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment
1X2Middlesbrough U21 win2.29Fair (+1.9%)
Double chanceMiddlesbrough U21 or draw—Info

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A012345
07952
1101273
27952
3342
411
5

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Model vs market

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.

1X2Middlesbrough U212.29+1.9%
1X2Draw3.95-0.7%
1X2Tottenham Hotspur U212.31-1.2%
Our model BookmakerPositive edge = model disagreement, not a value bet. Not betting advice.

Full analysis

The model puts Middlesbrough U21 at 41%. The model puts the draw at 22%. The model puts Tottenham Hotspur U21 at 37%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.

The market frames this as a close contest. Middlesbrough U21 is priced at 2.29. The draw is priced at 3.95. Tottenham Hotspur U21 is priced at 2.31.

Middlesbrough U21 have won 4 of the head-to-head meetings. Tottenham Hotspur U21 have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings.

Middlesbrough U21 have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. Tottenham Hotspur U21 have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.

The model gives 53% for both teams to score. The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Prediction Track Record →Methodology →Model card →

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, Middlesbrough U21 or Tottenham Hotspur U21?

Our model rates Middlesbrough U21 as the most likely outcome at 41% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for Middlesbrough U21 vs Tottenham Hotspur U21?

A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

What's the head-to-head record?

In the last 6 meetings: 4 Middlesbrough U21 wins, 0 draws, 2 Tottenham Hotspur U21 wins.

See odds at bookmakers

Match statistics

Player of the matchArcherTottenham Hotspur U217.9
21
Possession
79
4
Shots on target
6
5
Corners
11
0
Yellow cards
3
4
Shots off target
9
Wilson⚽16'
43'🟨Hull
61'•Hull
Carbon•62'
66'•Adedeji
67'•Sowunmi
Patterson-Powell•77'
77'🟨King
80'•Batty
83'🟨Rowswell

Middlesbrough U21

Starting XI
  • 1Connor
  • 2Tika-Lemba
  • 3Okonola
  • 4Dede
  • 5Wilson
  • 6Greenup
  • 7Hamilton6.2
  • 8Berry6.3
  • 9Ибе6.4
  • 10Campbell
  • 11Cole
Coach: Mark Tinkler

Tottenham Hotspur U21

Starting XI
  • 1Archer7.9
  • 2Rowswell6.8
  • 3King7.6
  • 4Byfield6.2
  • 5Hardy6.3
  • 6Byrne6.4
  • 7Kyerematen6.5
  • 8Hall5.3
  • 9Hull5.8
  • 10McFadden6.9
  • 11Elliott-Parris5.9
Coach: Wayne Burnett

Match story

How the game unfolded
0–15'0–0

Cautious start, both sides feeling each other out. (0–0)

15–45'1–0

Middlesbrough U21 make it count (Wilson (16')). It's 1–0 at this point.

16'⚽Wilson43'🟨Hull
Half-time

Half-time score: Middlesbrough U21 1 – 0 Tottenham Hotspur U21.

45–75'1–0

The game settles after the break without a breakthrough. (1–0)

61'•Hull62'•Carbon66'•Adedeji67'•Sowunmi
75–90'+1–0

No goals but plenty of bite: 2 card(s) in this spell. Score holds at 1–0.

77'•Patterson-Powell77'🟨King80'•Batty83'🟨Rowswell
Full time: Middlesbrough U21 1 – 0 Tottenham Hotspur U21

League table

England. Premier League 2
#TeamGPWLTGPts
1Tottenham Hotspur U21540115:713
2Chelsea U21641117:1113
3Nottingham Forest U21642011:1112
4Liverpool U21631211:611
5Southampton U2143017:210
6Sunderland U21531115:1110
7Norwich City U21531110:710
8Fulham U21632116:1410
9Bournemouth U21531111:910
10Reading U2163219:810
11Manchester United U21431014:69
12Everton U2152126:48
13Brighton & Hove Albion U21622214:148
14West Ham United U21622210:108
15Aston Villa U2152128:88
16Crystal Palace U2142117:37
17Derby County U21522113:127
18Leeds United U21522112:137
19Manchester City U21422011:96
20Ipswich Town U21422011:106
21Brentford U21523011:106
22Stoke City U21614111:114
23Leicester City U2151315:104
24Arsenal U2160247:134
25Blackburn Rovers U2131204:73
26Burnley U2161509:133
27Wolverhampton Wanderers U2141302:113
28Middlesbrough U2150328:122
29Birmingham City U2150325:162
30West Bromwich Albion U2140319:131
31Newcastle United U2130301:90
Promotion - Premier League 2 (Play-off: Round of 16) Promotion - Development League (Play-offs)

Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.